S. Wei vs F. Ferro prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. WeiF. Ferro
29.9 %70.1 %
Model favourite
F. Ferro
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-0 · S. Wei

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerJingshanRound of 16hard court12:30
S. Wei
S. Wei
vs
F. Ferro
F. Ferro
1843
Elo
2130
1833
Elo on hard court
1906
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
6
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.96
Odds
1.28

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Wei
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
F. Ferro
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
7 – 3
11 – 11
Sets won – lost
15 – 8
1 win
Current streak
1 win
3-2 (60%)
2026 record
25-14 (64%)
24-23 (51%)
Record on hard court
27-28 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Wei and F. Ferro, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Ferro comes in with an Elo of 2130, against 1843 for S. Wei: a 287-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 73 points in favour of F. Ferro. S. Wei won 6 of the last ten matches, F. Ferro won 9. S. Wei has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Ferro has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, F. Ferro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make F. Ferro the favourite.

The model gave F. Ferro the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Wei won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Wei's last five matches

F. Ferro's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

F. Ferro leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Wei beat Huang Yujia (6-3 1-6 7-6). To reach this round, F. Ferro beat Y. Yang (6-4 2-6 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. Sun, who beat Y. Ma in the final (6-4 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, S. Wei wins 39 % of the time (18 matches), F. Ferro 53 % (49 matches). After losing the first set, S. Wei turned 10 % of matches around (31 occasions), F. Ferro 16 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Wei went on to win 82 % of matches, F. Ferro 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Wei – F. Ferro

Who is the favourite between S. Wei and F. Ferro?
The match is over: S. Wei won 1-0. Bookmakers make F. Ferro the favourite, priced at 1.28 against 2.96 for S. Wei. Pronocast's model had F. Ferro winning at 70 %.
When is the S. Wei – F. Ferro match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 12:30, at the Jingshan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Wei and F. Ferro?
Since 2020, F. Ferro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Wei – F. Ferro?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jingshan

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026