T. Legout vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

T. LegoutD. Ostapenkov

69.5 %30.5 %

Model favourite: T. Legout
Probability: 70 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · T. Legout

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSan Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationQualifying21:35

T. Legout

D. Ostapenkov

1934
Elo: 1753; 8 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 4
Recent matches: 2; Edge
Head-to-head: –; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Legout

D. Ostapenkov

7 – 3
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 16 – 6
Sets won – lost: 12 – 13; 1 win
Current streak: 2 wins; 12-5 (71%)
2026 record: 13-8 (62%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Legout comes in with an Elo of 1934, against 1753 for D. Ostapenkov: a 181-point edge. T. Legout won 8 of the last ten matches, D. Ostapenkov won 5. T. Legout has 4 wins in the last five matches. D. Ostapenkov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, T. Legout leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave T. Legout the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Legout won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

T. Legout's last five matches

VD. KingSan Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 21 September 20266-2 6-0
DB. NakashimaTiburon 2026 · Round of 16 · 17 September 20266-7 2-6
VH. SearleTiburon 2026 · Round of 32 · 15 September 20266-1 6-4
VD. OstapenkovTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20266-3 6-4
VE. BynoeTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 13 September 20266-1 6-4

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

VQ. VandecasteeleSan Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20267-5 4-6 6-3
VG. GrumetTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20266-2 6-2
DT. LegoutTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20263-6 4-6
DF. BaxIstanbul 2 (Turkey) 2026 · Round of 16 · 5 August 20267-6 6-7 1-6
VC. BittounIstanbul 2 (Turkey) 2026 · Round of 32 · 4 August 20263-6 6-3 7-6

Head-to-head since 2020

T. Legout leads 1 to 0

VD. OstapenkovTiburon 2026 · Qualifying · 14 September 20266-3 6-4

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Legout beat D. King (6-2 6-0). To reach this round, D. Ostapenkov beat Q. Vandecasteele (7-5 4-6 6-3).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, T. Legout went on to win 84 % of matches, D. Ostapenkov 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov?: The match is over: T. Legout won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had T. Legout winning at 70 %.
When is the T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov match?: On Monday, 21 September 2026 at 21:35, at the San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification tournament (Qualifying, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between T. Legout and D. Ostapenkov?: Since 2020, T. Legout leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Legout – D. Ostapenkov?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions