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T. Lukas vs M. Sieg prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. LukasM. Sieg
52.0 %48.0 %
Model favourite
T. Lukas
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · M. Sieg

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerValenciaQualifyingclay13:55
T. Lukas
T. Lukas
vs
M. Sieg
M. Sieg
1783
Elo
1727
1766
Elo on clay
1684
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
4 / 10
2
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.74
Odds
1.95

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Lukas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
M. Sieg
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
2 – 8
Wins – losses
4 – 6
7 – 16
Sets won – lost
8 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
1-3 (25%)
2026 record
2-2 (50%)
8-21 (28%)
Record on clay
1-3 (25%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Lukas and M. Sieg, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Lukas comes in with an Elo of 1783, against 1727 for M. Sieg: a 57-point edge. On clay, the gap is 83 points in favour of T. Lukas. T. Lukas won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Sieg won 4. T. Lukas has one win in the last five matches. M. Sieg has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Lukas the favourite.

The model gave T. Lukas the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Sieg won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Lukas's last five matches

M. Sieg's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Lukas's first match of the tournament. This is M. Sieg's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Parrizas-Diaz, who beat L. Chirico in the final (7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, T. Lukas turned 5 % of matches around (19 occasions), M. Sieg 10 % (10 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Lukas – M. Sieg

Who is the favourite between T. Lukas and M. Sieg?
The match is over: M. Sieg won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Lukas the favourite, priced at 1.74 against 1.95 for M. Sieg. Pronocast's model had T. Lukas winning at 52 %.
When is the T. Lukas – M. Sieg match?
On Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 13:55, at the Valencia tournament (Qualifying, clay).
What is the head-to-head between T. Lukas and M. Sieg?
No meeting between T. Lukas and M. Sieg appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Lukas – M. Sieg?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Valencia

Tournament page

Other matches on 13 September 2026

All matches on 13 September 2026