A. De Minaur vs M. Kasnikowski prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

A. De MinaurM. Kasnikowski

85.0 %15.0 %

Model favourite: A. De Minaur
Probability: 85 %
Predicted score: 2-0; Exact score
Actual score: 2-0 · A. De Minaur

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group I05:20Time to be confirmed

A. De Minaur

M. Kasnikowski

2302
Elo: 1951; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 0
Recent matches: 4; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. De Minaur

M. Kasnikowski

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 14 – 11
Sets won – lost: 13 – 13; 1 loss
Current streak: 1 loss; 33-18 (65%)
2026 record: 34-23 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. De Minaur and M. Kasnikowski, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. De Minaur comes in with an Elo of 2302, against 1951 for M. Kasnikowski: a 352-point edge. A. De Minaur won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Kasnikowski won 5. A. De Minaur has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Kasnikowski has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. De Minaur the win at 85 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. De Minaur won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. De Minaur's last five matches

DB. Van De ZandschulpUS Open 2026 · Round of 64 · 4 September 20264-6 5-7 2-6
VA. GuerrieriUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 2 September 20266-2 6-2 6-4
DA. FilsCincinnati 2026 · Round of 16 · 19 August 20263-6 4-6
VA. FeryCincinnati 2026 · Round of 32 · 17 August 20267-5 7-6
VQ. HalysCincinnati 2026 · Round of 64 · 15 August 20261-6 6-3 7-6

M. Kasnikowski's last five matches

DJ. D. Hara FriendIstanbul 2026 · Semi-final · 12 September 20266-7 4-6
VF. MaestrelliIstanbul 2026 · Quarter-final · 11 September 20266-0 2-6 6-1
VC. LangmoIstanbul 2026 · Round of 16 · 9 September 20266-3 7-6
VI. Marrero CurbeloIstanbul 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20264-6 7-5 6-0
DA. Sanchez QuilezMallorca 2026 · Round of 16 · 3 September 20265-7 6-7

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. De Minaur's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. Kasnikowski beat M. Bassem Sobhy (6-1 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. De Minaur wins 58 % (70 of 120), M. Kasnikowski 49 % (45 of 91). In deciding sets, A. De Minaur wins 58 % of the time (100 matches), M. Kasnikowski 48 % (82 matches). After losing the first set, A. De Minaur turned 28 % of matches around (136 occasions), M. Kasnikowski 26 % (87 occasions). After winning the first set, A. De Minaur went on to win 88 % of matches, M. Kasnikowski 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. De Minaur – M. Kasnikowski

Who is the favourite between A. De Minaur and M. Kasnikowski?: The match is over: A. De Minaur won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. De Minaur winning at 85 %.
When is the A. De Minaur – M. Kasnikowski match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group I tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between A. De Minaur and M. Kasnikowski?: No meeting between A. De Minaur and M. Kasnikowski appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. De Minaur – M. Kasnikowski?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions