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A. Matusevich vs T. Schoolkate prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. MatusevichT. Schoolkate
37.8 %62.2 %
Model favourite
T. Schoolkate
Probability
62 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · T. Schoolkate

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 16hard court11:10
A. Matusevich
A. Matusevich
vs
T. Schoolkate
T. Schoolkate
1933
Elo
2001
1901
Elo on hard court
1938
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
1
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.50
Odds
1.47

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Matusevich
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
T. Schoolkate
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 7
Sets won – lost
18 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
15-11 (58%)
2026 record
28-23 (55%)
12-8 (60%)
Record on hard court
119-101 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Matusevich and T. Schoolkate, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Schoolkate comes in with an Elo of 2001, against 1933 for A. Matusevich: a 68-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 37 points in favour of T. Schoolkate. A. Matusevich won 7 of the last ten matches, T. Schoolkate won 7. A. Matusevich has 3 wins in the last five matches. T. Schoolkate has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite.

The model gave T. Schoolkate the win at 62 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Schoolkate won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Matusevich's last five matches

T. Schoolkate's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Matusevich beat M. Kaouk (6-0 6-3). To reach this round, T. Schoolkate beat M. Gengel (6-1 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Matusevich wins 54 % (13 of 24), T. Schoolkate 49 % (72 of 148). In deciding sets, A. Matusevich wins 35 % of the time (26 matches), T. Schoolkate 59 % (94 matches). After losing the first set, A. Matusevich turned 18 % of matches around (28 occasions), T. Schoolkate 26 % (143 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Matusevich went on to win 72 % of matches, T. Schoolkate 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Matusevich – T. Schoolkate

Who is the favourite between A. Matusevich and T. Schoolkate?
The match is over: T. Schoolkate won 2-1. Bookmakers make T. Schoolkate the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.50 for A. Matusevich. Pronocast's model had T. Schoolkate winning at 62 %.
When is the A. Matusevich – T. Schoolkate match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 11:10, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Matusevich and T. Schoolkate?
No meeting between A. Matusevich and T. Schoolkate appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Matusevich – T. Schoolkate?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026