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B. Ellis vs I. Simakin prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. EllisI. Simakin
18.1 %81.9 %
Model favourite
I. Simakin
Probability
82 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · I. Simakin

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerPhan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationRound of 1606:50
B. Ellis
B. Ellis
vs
I. Simakin
I. Simakin
1743
Elo
2013
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
10 / 10
4
Recent matches
10
–
Head-to-head
Edge
4.70
Odds
1.14

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Ellis
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
I. Simakin
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
10 – 0
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
20 – 3
1 win
Current streak
11 wins
14-12 (54%)
2026 record
34-15 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Ellis and I. Simakin, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

I. Simakin comes in with an Elo of 2013, against 1743 for B. Ellis: a 270-point edge. B. Ellis won 5 of the last ten matches, I. Simakin won 10. B. Ellis has 2 wins in the last five matches. I. Simakin has 5 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, I. Simakin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make I. Simakin the favourite.

The model gave I. Simakin the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. I. Simakin won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Ellis's last five matches

I. Simakin's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

I. Simakin leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Ellis beat H. Moriya (6-4 5-7 6-3). To reach this round, I. Simakin beat T. Derepasko (6-4 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Ellis wins 59 % (26 of 44), I. Simakin 58 % (26 of 45). In deciding sets, B. Ellis wins 66 % of the time (35 matches), I. Simakin 63 % (46 matches). After losing the first set, B. Ellis turned 20 % of matches around (55 occasions), I. Simakin 37 % (46 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Ellis went on to win 85 % of matches, I. Simakin 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Ellis – I. Simakin

Who is the favourite between B. Ellis and I. Simakin?
The match is over: I. Simakin won 2-0. Bookmakers make I. Simakin the favourite, priced at 1.14 against 4.70 for B. Ellis. Pronocast's model had I. Simakin winning at 82 %.
When is the B. Ellis – I. Simakin match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 06:50, at the Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between B. Ellis and I. Simakin?
Since 2020, I. Simakin leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Ellis – I. Simakin?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026