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B. Shick vs M. Rottgering prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
B. ShickM. Rottgering
49.2 %50.8 %
Model favourite
M. Rottgering
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Rottgering

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusRound of 16hard court18:55
BS
B. Shick
vs
M. Rottgering
M. Rottgering
1916
Elo
1975
1933
Elo on hard court
1961
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.05
Odds
1.67

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

B. Shick
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
M. Rottgering
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 11
Sets won – lost
14 – 7
1 win
Current streak
1 win
16-13 (55%)
2026 record
13-7 (65%)
15-15 (50%)
Record on hard court
14-9 (61%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by B. Shick and M. Rottgering, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Rottgering comes in with an Elo of 1975, against 1916 for B. Shick: a 59-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 28 points in favour of M. Rottgering. B. Shick won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Rottgering won 7. B. Shick has 2 wins in the last five matches. M. Rottgering has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to B. Shick. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite.

The model gave M. Rottgering the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Rottgering won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

B. Shick's last five matches

M. Rottgering's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, B. Shick beat O. Baris (7-6 0-6 6-3). To reach this round, M. Rottgering beat E. Winter (7-5 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, B. Shick wins 57 % (8 of 14), M. Rottgering 80 % (8 of 10). In deciding sets, B. Shick wins 60 % of the time (15 matches), M. Rottgering 50 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, B. Shick turned 20 % of matches around (20 occasions), M. Rottgering 12 % (17 occasions). After winning the first set, B. Shick went on to win 81 % of matches, M. Rottgering 89 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about B. Shick – M. Rottgering

Who is the favourite between B. Shick and M. Rottgering?
The match is over: M. Rottgering won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite, priced at 1.67 against 2.05 for B. Shick. Pronocast's model had M. Rottgering winning at 51 %.
When is the B. Shick – M. Rottgering match?
On Wednesday, 30 September 2026 at 18:55, at the Columbus tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between B. Shick and M. Rottgering?
No meeting between B. Shick and M. Rottgering appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for B. Shick – M. Rottgering?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 30 September 2026

All matches on 30 September 2026