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M. Rottgering vs A. Andrade prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
M. RottgeringA. Andrade
57.7 %42.3 %
Model favourite
M. Rottgering
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Andrade

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusQuarter-finalhard court17:10
M. Rottgering
M. Rottgering
vs
A. Andrade
A. Andrade
1996
Elo
1987
1988
Elo on hard court
1943
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.55
Odds
2.16

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Rottgering
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
A. Andrade
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
14 – 7
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
14-7 (67%)
2026 record
33-23 (59%)
15-9 (63%)
Record on hard court
32-30 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Rottgering and A. Andrade, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1996 against 1987): nothing separates them in the model's rating. On hard court, the gap is 45 points in favour of M. Rottgering. M. Rottgering won 7 of the last ten matches, A. Andrade won 7. M. Rottgering has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Andrade has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite.

The model gave M. Rottgering the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Andrade won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

M. Rottgering's last five matches

A. Andrade's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Rottgering beat E. Winter (7-5 6-3), then B. Shick (6-1 6-4). To reach this round, A. Andrade beat T. Svajda (6-4 6-2), then L. Staeheli (6-3 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Rottgering wins 80 % (8 of 10), A. Andrade 58 % (26 of 45). In deciding sets, M. Rottgering wins 50 % of the time (10 matches), A. Andrade 52 % (48 matches). After losing the first set, M. Rottgering turned 12 % of matches around (17 occasions), A. Andrade 22 % (74 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Rottgering went on to win 90 % of matches, A. Andrade 84 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Rottgering – A. Andrade

Who is the favourite between M. Rottgering and A. Andrade?
The match is over: A. Andrade won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Rottgering the favourite, priced at 1.55 against 2.16 for A. Andrade. Pronocast's model had M. Rottgering winning at 58 %.
When is the M. Rottgering – A. Andrade match?
On Friday, 2 October 2026 at 17:10, at the Columbus tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Rottgering and A. Andrade?
No meeting between M. Rottgering and A. Andrade appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Rottgering – A. Andrade?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 2 October 2026

All matches on 2 October 2026