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C. Werner vs W. Falkowska prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
C. WernerW. Falkowska
46.7 %53.3 %
Model favourite
W. Falkowska
Probability
53 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · C. Werner

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSamsunQualifyinghard court10:35
C. Werner
C. Werner
vs
W. Falkowska
W. Falkowska
1827
Elo
1857
1726
Elo on hard court
1789
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.02
Odds
1.70

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

C. Werner
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
W. Falkowska
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
6 – 4
9 – 16
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
1 win
Current streak
1 win
9-16 (36%)
2026 record
10-6 (63%)
4-7 (36%)
Record on hard court
10-8 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by C. Werner and W. Falkowska, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

W. Falkowska comes in with an Elo of 1857, against 1827 for C. Werner: a 30-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 62 points in favour of W. Falkowska. C. Werner won 5 of the last ten matches, W. Falkowska won 5. C. Werner has one win in the last five matches. W. Falkowska has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make W. Falkowska the favourite.

The model gave W. Falkowska the win at 53 %, with a likely score of 2-0. C. Werner won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

C. Werner's last five matches

W. Falkowska's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, C. Werner beat E. Yashina (6-3 3-6 6-2). To reach this round, W. Falkowska beat D. Turkmen (6-2 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat N. Bartunkova in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, C. Werner wins 64 % (7 of 11), W. Falkowska 55 % (6 of 11). In deciding sets, C. Werner wins 36 % of the time (22 matches), W. Falkowska 42 % (12 matches). After losing the first set, C. Werner turned 8 % of matches around (25 occasions), W. Falkowska 16 % (19 occasions). After winning the first set, C. Werner went on to win 76 % of matches, W. Falkowska 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about C. Werner – W. Falkowska

Who is the favourite between C. Werner and W. Falkowska?
The match is over: C. Werner won 2-1. Bookmakers make W. Falkowska the favourite, priced at 1.70 against 2.02 for C. Werner. Pronocast's model had W. Falkowska winning at 53 %.
When is the C. Werner – W. Falkowska match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 10:35, at the Samsun tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between C. Werner and W. Falkowska?
No meeting between C. Werner and W. Falkowska appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for C. Werner – W. Falkowska?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Samsun

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026