L. Stefanini vs P. Iatcenko prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. StefaniniP. Iatcenko
56.3 %43.7 %
Model favourite
L. Stefanini
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · L. Stefanini

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSamsunQuarter-finalhard court13:45
2091
Elo
2055
2044
Elo on hard court
1982
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.63
Odds
2.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Stefanini
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
P. Iatcenko
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
14 – 8
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
22-21 (51%)
2026 record
14-11 (56%)
51-52 (50%)
Record on hard court
15-8 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Stefanini and P. Iatcenko, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

L. Stefanini comes in with an Elo of 2091, against 2055 for P. Iatcenko: a 36-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 61 points in favour of L. Stefanini. L. Stefanini won 7 of the last ten matches, P. Iatcenko won 7. L. Stefanini has 4 wins in the last five matches. P. Iatcenko has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Stefanini the favourite.

The model gave L. Stefanini the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. L. Stefanini won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Stefanini's last five matches

P. Iatcenko's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, L. Stefanini beat C. Monnet (7-5 6-4), then N. Noha Akugue (6-2 6-3). To reach this round, P. Iatcenko beat S. Lamens (6-3 6-1), then D. Galfi (6-4 7-6). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat N. Bartunkova in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, L. Stefanini wins 51 % of the time (63 matches), P. Iatcenko 80 % (10 matches). After losing the first set, L. Stefanini turned 17 % of matches around (100 occasions), P. Iatcenko 33 % (18 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Stefanini went on to win 87 % of matches, P. Iatcenko 93 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Stefanini – P. Iatcenko

Who is the favourite between L. Stefanini and P. Iatcenko?
The match is over: L. Stefanini won 2-0. Bookmakers make L. Stefanini the favourite, priced at 1.63 against 2.18 for P. Iatcenko. Pronocast's model had L. Stefanini winning at 56 %.
When is the L. Stefanini – P. Iatcenko match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 13:45, at the Samsun tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between L. Stefanini and P. Iatcenko?
No meeting between L. Stefanini and P. Iatcenko appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Stefanini – P. Iatcenko?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Samsun

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026