D. Astakhova vs R. Zarazua prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

D. AstakhovaR. Zarazua

41.5 %58.5 %

Model favourite: R. Zarazua
Probability: 59 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 0-0 · R. Zarazua

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 16hard court04:10

D. Astakhova

R. Zarazua

1981
Elo: 2028; 1925
Elo on hard court: 1963; 7 / 10
Form (last 10): 3 / 10; 3
Recent matches: 3; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Astakhova

R. Zarazua

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 3 – 7; 13 – 12
Sets won – lost: 10 – 15; 1 loss
Current streak: 1 win; 9-8 (53%)
2026 record: 18-27 (40%); 5-8 (38%)
Record on hard court: 50-61 (45%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Astakhova and R. Zarazua, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

R. Zarazua comes in with an Elo of 2028, against 1981 for D. Astakhova: a 47-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 37 points in favour of R. Zarazua. D. Astakhova won 7 of the last ten matches, R. Zarazua won 3. D. Astakhova has 3 wins in the last five matches. R. Zarazua has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave R. Zarazua the win at 59 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Zarazua won 0-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

D. Astakhova's last five matches

DM. InglisBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 29 September 20262-6 5-7
VD. KrawczykBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-2 6-1
DA. KorneevaSeoul 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20262-6 6-3 1-6
VM. LinetteSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20263-6 6-1 7-6
VA. ShubladzeSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-4 6-4

R. Zarazua's last five matches

VH. ShiSuzhou 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 October 20266-3 6-3
DA. SabalenkaBeijing 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 October 20261-6 3-6
VA. BondarBeijing 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 September 20267-6 6-3
DA. BondarSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 22 September 20266-2 3-6 1-6
DC. DolehideGuadalajara 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20261-6 6-3 3-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Astakhova's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, R. Zarazua beat H. Shi (6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, D. Astakhova wins 56 % of the time (18 matches), R. Zarazua 47 % (75 matches). After losing the first set, D. Astakhova turned 20 % of matches around (25 occasions), R. Zarazua 15 % (110 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Astakhova went on to win 76 % of matches, R. Zarazua 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Astakhova – R. Zarazua

Who is the favourite between D. Astakhova and R. Zarazua?: The match is over: R. Zarazua won 0-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had R. Zarazua winning at 59 %.
When is the D. Astakhova – R. Zarazua match?: On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 04:10, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Astakhova and R. Zarazua?: No meeting between D. Astakhova and R. Zarazua appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Astakhova – R. Zarazua?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions