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A. Sasnovich vs E. Kalieva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. SasnovichE. Kalieva
63.8 %36.2 %
Model favourite
A. Sasnovich
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · E. Kalieva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouQuarter-finalhard court06:00
A. Sasnovich
A. Sasnovich
vs
E. Kalieva
E. Kalieva
2111
Elo
1988
2084
Elo on hard court
1936
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
6
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Sasnovich
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
E. Kalieva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 6
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
31-23 (57%)
2026 record
27-21 (56%)
93-79 (54%)
Record on hard court
31-39 (44%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Sasnovich and E. Kalieva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sasnovich comes in with an Elo of 2111, against 1988 for E. Kalieva: a 124-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 148 points in favour of A. Sasnovich. A. Sasnovich won 7 of the last ten matches, E. Kalieva won 5. A. Sasnovich has 4 wins in the last five matches. E. Kalieva has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Sasnovich the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Kalieva won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Sasnovich's last five matches

E. Kalieva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Sasnovich beat X. Yao (7-5 6-1), then L. Fruhvirtova (6-0 6-2). To reach this round, E. Kalieva beat Y. Ma (6-3 6-4), then T. Korpatsch (2-6 6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Sasnovich wins 44 % (33 of 75), E. Kalieva 53 % (16 of 30). In deciding sets, A. Sasnovich wins 48 % of the time (97 matches), E. Kalieva 54 % (41 matches). After losing the first set, A. Sasnovich turned 17 % of matches around (123 occasions), E. Kalieva 20 % (69 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Sasnovich went on to win 83 % of matches, E. Kalieva 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Sasnovich – E. Kalieva

Who is the favourite between A. Sasnovich and E. Kalieva?
The match is over: E. Kalieva won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Sasnovich winning at 64 %.
When is the A. Sasnovich – E. Kalieva match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 06:00, at the Suzhou tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Sasnovich and E. Kalieva?
No meeting between A. Sasnovich and E. Kalieva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Sasnovich – E. Kalieva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026