Pronocast
ProductPredictionsPricing
Create account

D. Medvedev vs S. Shimabukuro prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has D. Medvedev winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
D. Medvedev
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

ATPAlmatyRound of 16hard court
D. Medvedev
D. Medvedev
vs
S. Shimabukuro
S. Shimabukuro

Community · Who wins?

No votes yet

Vote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

D. Medvedev
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
S. Shimabukuro
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
9 – 1
Wins – losses
3 – 7
18 – 4
Sets won – lost
8 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
3 losses
45-17 (73%)
2026 record
29-28 (51%)
197-68 (74%)
Record on hard court
116-94 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by D. Medvedev and S. Shimabukuro, before this match.

Recent matches

D. Medvedev's last five matches

S. Shimabukuro's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is D. Medvedev's first match of the tournament. This is S. Shimabukuro's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by D. Medvedev, who beat C. Moutet in the final (7-5 4-6 6-3). D. Medvedev is therefore defending the title.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, D. Medvedev wins 53 % (82 of 155), S. Shimabukuro 50 % (52 of 105). In deciding sets, D. Medvedev wins 59 % of the time (106 matches), S. Shimabukuro 49 % (98 matches). After losing the first set, D. Medvedev turned 34 % of matches around (121 occasions), S. Shimabukuro 20 % (111 occasions). After winning the first set, D. Medvedev went on to win 91 % of matches, S. Shimabukuro 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about D. Medvedev – S. Shimabukuro

Who is the favourite between D. Medvedev and S. Shimabukuro?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has D. Medvedev winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the D. Medvedev – S. Shimabukuro match?
On Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 08:00, at the Almaty tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between D. Medvedev and S. Shimabukuro?
No meeting between D. Medvedev and S. Shimabukuro appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for D. Medvedev – S. Shimabukuro?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Almaty

Tournament page

Other matches on 22 October 2026

All matches on 22 October 2026