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E. Butvilas vs M. H. Rehberg prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
E. ButvilasM. H. Rehberg
64.0 %36.0 %
Model favourite
E. Butvilas
Probability
64 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · M. H. Rehberg

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay14:40
E. Butvilas
E. Butvilas
vs
M. H. Rehberg
M. H. Rehberg
1969
Elo
2003
1847
Elo on clay
1980
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
1.52
Odds
2.43

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Butvilas
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. H. Rehberg
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
2 wins
34-27 (56%)
2026 record
26-19 (58%)
30-34 (47%)
Record on clay
49-50 (49%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Butvilas and M. H. Rehberg, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. H. Rehberg comes in with an Elo of 2003, against 1969 for E. Butvilas: a 34-point edge. On clay, the gap is 133 points in favour of M. H. Rehberg. E. Butvilas won 5 of the last ten matches, M. H. Rehberg won 7. E. Butvilas has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. H. Rehberg has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Butvilas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite.

The model gave E. Butvilas the win at 64 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. H. Rehberg won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

E. Butvilas's last five matches

M. H. Rehberg's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Butvilas leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is E. Butvilas's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, M. H. Rehberg beat D. Cukierman (6-7 6-3 6-3), then M. Poljicak (5-7 6-3 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Butvilas wins 55 % (36 of 66), M. H. Rehberg 50 % (37 of 74). In deciding sets, E. Butvilas wins 44 % of the time (78 matches), M. H. Rehberg 46 % (54 matches). After losing the first set, E. Butvilas turned 20 % of matches around (79 occasions), M. H. Rehberg 20 % (76 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Butvilas went on to win 77 % of matches, M. H. Rehberg 82 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Butvilas – M. H. Rehberg

Who is the favourite between E. Butvilas and M. H. Rehberg?
The match is over: M. H. Rehberg won 2-1. Bookmakers make E. Butvilas the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.43 for M. H. Rehberg. Pronocast's model had E. Butvilas winning at 64 %.
When is the E. Butvilas – M. H. Rehberg match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 14:40, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between E. Butvilas and M. H. Rehberg?
Since 2020, E. Butvilas leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Butvilas – M. H. Rehberg?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026