E. Kalieva vs Y. Ma prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
E. KalievaY. Ma
65.8 %34.2 %
Model favourite
E. Kalieva
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · E. Kalieva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court09:05
E. Kalieva
E. Kalieva
vs
Y. Ma
Y. Ma
1961
Elo
1855
1902
Elo on hard court
1832
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
5
Edge
Head-to-head
–
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Kalieva
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
Y. Ma
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 15
Sets won – lost
11 – 12
2 losses
Current streak
2 losses
25-21 (54%)
2026 record
8-11 (42%)
29-39 (43%)
Record on hard court
25-24 (51%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Kalieva and Y. Ma, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

E. Kalieva comes in with an Elo of 1961, against 1855 for Y. Ma: a 105-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 70 points in favour of E. Kalieva. E. Kalieva won 4 of the last ten matches, Y. Ma won 5. E. Kalieva has one win in the last five matches. Y. Ma has 2 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, E. Kalieva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave E. Kalieva the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Kalieva won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

E. Kalieva's last five matches

Y. Ma's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

E. Kalieva leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is E. Kalieva's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Ma's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Kalieva wins 53 % (16 of 30), Y. Ma 57 % (8 of 14). In deciding sets, E. Kalieva wins 53 % of the time (40 matches), Y. Ma 50 % (20 matches). After losing the first set, E. Kalieva turned 19 % of matches around (68 occasions), Y. Ma 21 % (33 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Kalieva went on to win 80 % of matches, Y. Ma 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Kalieva – Y. Ma

Who is the favourite between E. Kalieva and Y. Ma?
The match is over: E. Kalieva won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had E. Kalieva winning at 66 %.
When is the E. Kalieva – Y. Ma match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 09:05, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Kalieva and Y. Ma?
Since 2020, E. Kalieva leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Kalieva – Y. Ma?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026