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E. Mertens vs L. Fernandez prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has E. Mertens winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
E. Mertens
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTANingboRound of 32hard court
E. Mertens
E. Mertens
vs
L. Fernandez
L. Fernandez

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

E. Mertens
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
L. Fernandez
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
7 – 3
13 – 10
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
33-21 (61%)
2026 record
23-25 (48%)
119-79 (60%)
Record on hard court
113-78 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by E. Mertens and L. Fernandez, before this match.

Recent matches

E. Mertens's last five matches

L. Fernandez's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 1 win(s) each

Road through the tournament

This is E. Mertens's first match of the tournament. This is L. Fernandez's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by E. Rybakina, who beat E. Alexandrova in the final (3-6 6-0 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, E. Mertens wins 54 % (32 of 59), L. Fernandez 50 % (39 of 78). In deciding sets, E. Mertens wins 50 % of the time (86 matches), L. Fernandez 52 % (91 matches). After losing the first set, E. Mertens turned 23 % of matches around (120 occasions), L. Fernandez 17 % (127 occasions). After winning the first set, E. Mertens went on to win 85 % of matches, L. Fernandez 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about E. Mertens – L. Fernandez

Who is the favourite between E. Mertens and L. Fernandez?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has E. Mertens winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the E. Mertens – L. Fernandez match?
On Monday, 19 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Ningbo tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between E. Mertens and L. Fernandez?
Since 2020 they have met 2 times, 1 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for E. Mertens – L. Fernandez?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Ningbo

Tournament page

Other matches on 19 October 2026

All matches on 19 October 2026