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F. Curmi vs V. Erjavec prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. CurmiV. Erjavec
39.9 %60.1 %
Model favourite
V. Erjavec
Probability
60 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · F. Curmi

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerValenciaRound of 32clay18:30
F. Curmi
F. Curmi
vs
V. Erjavec
V. Erjavec
1984
Elo
1944
1963
Elo on clay
1979
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.38
Odds
1.52

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Curmi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
V. Erjavec
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 8
Sets won – lost
9 – 15
2 losses
Current streak
5 losses
4-3 (57%)
2026 record
20-22 (48%)
9-10 (47%)
Record on clay
50-33 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Curmi and V. Erjavec, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Curmi comes in with an Elo of 1984, against 1944 for V. Erjavec: a 39-point edge. On clay, the gap is 16 points in favour of V. Erjavec. F. Curmi won 6 of the last ten matches, V. Erjavec won 3. F. Curmi has 2 wins in the last five matches. V. Erjavec has no win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make V. Erjavec the favourite.

The model gave V. Erjavec the win at 60 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Curmi won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Curmi's last five matches

V. Erjavec's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is F. Curmi's first match of the tournament. This is V. Erjavec's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by N. Parrizas-Diaz, who beat L. Chirico in the final (7-5 7-6).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, F. Curmi turned 7 % of matches around (14 occasions), V. Erjavec 11 % (64 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Curmi went on to win 93 % of matches, V. Erjavec 95 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Curmi – V. Erjavec

Who is the favourite between F. Curmi and V. Erjavec?
The match is over: F. Curmi won 2-1. Bookmakers make V. Erjavec the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.38 for F. Curmi. Pronocast's model had V. Erjavec winning at 60 %.
When is the F. Curmi – V. Erjavec match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 18:30, at the Valencia tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Curmi and V. Erjavec?
No meeting between F. Curmi and V. Erjavec appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Curmi – V. Erjavec?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Valencia

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026