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G. Grumet vs D. Ostapenkov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
G. GrumetD. Ostapenkov
15.4 %84.6 %
Model favourite
D. Ostapenkov
Probability
85 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · D. Ostapenkov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerTiburonQualifyinghard court01:30
GG
G. Grumet
vs
D. Ostapenkov
D. Ostapenkov
1476
Elo
1757
1386
Elo on hard court
1744
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
0
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

G. Grumet
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
D. Ostapenkov
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
1 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
3 – 7
Sets won – lost
12 – 14
1 loss
Current streak
2 losses
–
2026 record
11-8 (58%)
1-3 (25%)
Record on hard court
8-7 (53%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by G. Grumet and D. Ostapenkov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Ostapenkov comes in with an Elo of 1757, against 1476 for G. Grumet: a 281-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 358 points in favour of D. Ostapenkov. G. Grumet won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Ostapenkov won 6. G. Grumet has one win in the last five matches. D. Ostapenkov has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave D. Ostapenkov the win at 85 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Ostapenkov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

G. Grumet's last five matches

D. Ostapenkov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is G. Grumet's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat T. Zink in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about G. Grumet – D. Ostapenkov

Who is the favourite between G. Grumet and D. Ostapenkov?
The match is over: D. Ostapenkov won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had D. Ostapenkov winning at 85 %.
When is the G. Grumet – D. Ostapenkov match?
On Monday, 14 September 2026 at 01:30, at the Tiburon tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between G. Grumet and D. Ostapenkov?
No meeting between G. Grumet and D. Ostapenkov appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for G. Grumet – D. Ostapenkov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tiburon

Tournament page

Other matches on 14 September 2026

All matches on 14 September 2026