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F. Jones vs R. Dencheva prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
F. JonesR. Dencheva
62.9 %37.1 %
Model favourite
F. Jones
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · R. Dencheva

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerAntalya 4 (Turkey) - QualificationRound of 16clay11:10
F. Jones
F. Jones
vs
R. Dencheva
R. Dencheva
2167
Elo
2008
2188
Elo on clay
2000
9 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
6
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.45
Odds
2.58

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Jones
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
R. Dencheva
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
4 – 1
18 – 6
Sets won – lost
8 – 3
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
26-13 (67%)
2026 record
3-0 (100%)
55-18 (75%)
Record on clay
3-0 (100%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Jones and R. Dencheva, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Jones comes in with an Elo of 2167, against 2008 for R. Dencheva: a 159-point edge. On clay, the gap is 188 points in favour of F. Jones. F. Jones won 9 of the last ten matches, R. Dencheva won 7. F. Jones has 4 wins in the last five matches. R. Dencheva has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Jones the favourite.

The model gave F. Jones the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. R. Dencheva won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

F. Jones's last five matches

R. Dencheva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Jones beat R. Serban (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, R. Dencheva beat A. Lacinova (6-4 6-0), then M. Tona (6-1 6-4), then I. Oz (4-6 7-5 6-0).

Frequently asked questions about F. Jones – R. Dencheva

Who is the favourite between F. Jones and R. Dencheva?
The match is over: R. Dencheva won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Jones the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.58 for R. Dencheva. Pronocast's model had F. Jones winning at 63 %.
When is the F. Jones – R. Dencheva match?
On Thursday, 10 September 2026 at 11:10, at the Antalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between F. Jones and R. Dencheva?
No meeting between F. Jones and R. Dencheva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Jones – R. Dencheva?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Antalya 4 (Turkey) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 10 September 2026

All matches on 10 September 2026