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F. Maestrelli vs Y. Ghazouani Durand prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. MaestrelliY. Ghazouani Durand
70.0 %30.0 %
Model favourite
F. Maestrelli
Probability
70 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · F. Maestrelli

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerRennesRound of 16hard court13:45
F. Maestrelli
F. Maestrelli
vs
Y. Ghazouani Durand
Y. Ghazouani Durand
1878
Elo
1750
1887
Elo on hard court
1775
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
4
Recent matches
7
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.32
Odds
2.92

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Maestrelli
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
Y. Ghazouani Durand
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
12 – 13
Sets won – lost
15 – 9
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
16-24 (40%)
2026 record
10-6 (63%)
66-56 (54%)
Record on hard court
9-4 (69%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Maestrelli and Y. Ghazouani Durand, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Maestrelli comes in with an Elo of 1878, against 1750 for Y. Ghazouani Durand: a 129-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 112 points in favour of F. Maestrelli. F. Maestrelli won 4 of the last ten matches, Y. Ghazouani Durand won 7. F. Maestrelli has 3 wins in the last five matches. Y. Ghazouani Durand has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Maestrelli the favourite.

The model gave F. Maestrelli the win at 70 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Maestrelli won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Maestrelli's last five matches

Y. Ghazouani Durand's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Maestrelli beat A. Nagel (6-4 7-6). To reach this round, Y. Ghazouani Durand beat G. Brouwer (6-3 2-6 6-4), then N. Slavic (4-6 6-3 6-2), then L. Raquillet (6-1 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by H. Gaston, who beat S. Wawrinka in the final (6-4 6-4).

Frequently asked questions about F. Maestrelli – Y. Ghazouani Durand

Who is the favourite between F. Maestrelli and Y. Ghazouani Durand?
The match is over: F. Maestrelli won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Maestrelli the favourite, priced at 1.32 against 2.92 for Y. Ghazouani Durand. Pronocast's model had F. Maestrelli winning at 70 %.
When is the F. Maestrelli – Y. Ghazouani Durand match?
On Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 13:45, at the Rennes tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between F. Maestrelli and Y. Ghazouani Durand?
No meeting between F. Maestrelli and Y. Ghazouani Durand appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Maestrelli – Y. Ghazouani Durand?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Rennes

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 September 2026

All matches on 17 September 2026