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H. Barton vs T. Samuel prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
H. BartonT. Samuel
22.2 %77.8 %
Model favourite
T. Samuel
Probability
78 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-0 · H. Barton

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerVillenaRound of 32clay11:50
H. Barton
H. Barton
vs
T. Samuel
T. Samuel
1891
Elo
2161
1872
Elo on clay
1989
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
2
Recent matches
2
Even
Head-to-head
Even
4.33
Odds
1.18

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Barton
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
T. Samuel
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
7 – 3
10 – 14
Sets won – lost
16 – 10
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
35-26 (57%)
2026 record
38-17 (69%)
76-52 (59%)
Record on clay
7-5 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Barton and T. Samuel, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

T. Samuel comes in with an Elo of 2161, against 1891 for H. Barton: a 271-point edge. On clay, the gap is 117 points in favour of T. Samuel. H. Barton won 4 of the last ten matches, T. Samuel won 7. H. Barton has 2 wins in the last five matches. T. Samuel has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make T. Samuel the favourite.

The model gave T. Samuel the win at 78 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Barton won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Barton's last five matches

T. Samuel's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is T. Samuel's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Carreno-Busta, who beat H. Grenier in the final (4-6 6-1 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Barton wins 46 % (26 of 56), T. Samuel 66 % (21 of 32). In deciding sets, H. Barton wins 56 % of the time (57 matches), T. Samuel 48 % (29 matches). After losing the first set, H. Barton turned 25 % of matches around (72 occasions), T. Samuel 32 % (28 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Barton went on to win 82 % of matches, T. Samuel 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Barton – T. Samuel

Who is the favourite between H. Barton and T. Samuel?
The match is over: H. Barton won 2-0. Bookmakers make T. Samuel the favourite, priced at 1.18 against 4.33 for H. Barton. Pronocast's model had T. Samuel winning at 78 %.
When is the H. Barton – T. Samuel match?
On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 11:50, at the Villena tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between H. Barton and T. Samuel?
No meeting between H. Barton and T. Samuel appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Barton – T. Samuel?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Villena

Tournament page

Other matches on 7 October 2026

All matches on 7 October 2026