H. Rune vs G. Dimitrov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction

H. RuneG. Dimitrov

41.8 %58.2 %

Model favourite: G. Dimitrov
Probability: 58 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 2-1 · H. Rune

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group I15:25Time to be confirmed

H. Rune

G. Dimitrov

2267
Elo: 2139; 8 / 10
Form (last 10): 6 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 2.20
Odds: 1.61

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

H. Rune

G. Dimitrov

8 – 2
Wins – losses: 6 – 4; 17 – 6
Sets won – lost: 18 – 15; 3 wins
Current streak: 1 win; 1-0 (100%)
2026 record: 13-17 (43%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by H. Rune and G. Dimitrov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

H. Rune comes in with an Elo of 2267, against 2139 for G. Dimitrov: a 128-point edge. H. Rune won 8 of the last ten matches, G. Dimitrov won 6. H. Rune has 4 wins in the last five matches. G. Dimitrov has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each. Bookmakers make G. Dimitrov the favourite.

The model gave G. Dimitrov the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. H. Rune won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

H. Rune's last five matches

VI. RadulovATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 18 September 20266-3 6-3
VT. M. EtcheverryStockholm 2025 · Quarter-final · 17 October 20256-7 6-3 6-4
VM. FucsovicsStockholm 2025 · Round of 16 · 16 October 20256-4 6-4
DV. VacherotShanghai 2025 · Quarter-final · 9 October 20256-2 6-7 4-6
VG. Mpetshi PerricardShanghai 2025 · Round of 16 · 7 October 20256-4 6-7 6-3

G. Dimitrov's last five matches

VE. MollerATP Davis Cup - World Group I 2026 · 18 September 20266-7 6-3 6-4
DA. PopyrinUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 1 September 20266-3 3-6 2-6 4-6
VT. SkatovUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 26 August 20267-6 6-4
VL. GiustinoUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 25 August 20266-0 6-3
DS. BaezCincinnati 2026 · Round of 128 · 14 August 20266-1 3-6 4-6

Head-to-head since 2020

Level, 2 win(s) each

VG. DimitrovATP Monte Carlo 2024 · Round of 16 · 11 April 20247-6 3-6 7-6
DG. DimitrovATP Brisbane 2024 · Final · 7 January 20246-7 4-6
DG. DimitrovATP Beijing 2023 · Round of 16 · 1 October 20233-6 5-7
VG. DimitrovATP Wimbledon 2023 · Round of 16 · 10 July 20233-6 7-6 7-6 6-3

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, H. Rune beat I. Radulov (6-3 6-3). To reach this round, G. Dimitrov beat E. Moller (6-7 6-3 6-4).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, H. Rune wins 62 % (87 of 141), G. Dimitrov 54 % (68 of 125). In deciding sets, H. Rune wins 59 % of the time (110 matches), G. Dimitrov 63 % (72 matches). After losing the first set, H. Rune turned 32 % of matches around (122 occasions), G. Dimitrov 24 % (98 occasions). After winning the first set, H. Rune went on to win 89 % of matches, G. Dimitrov 90 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about H. Rune – G. Dimitrov

Who is the favourite between H. Rune and G. Dimitrov?: The match is over: H. Rune won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Dimitrov the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.20 for H. Rune. Pronocast's model had G. Dimitrov winning at 58 %.
When is the H. Rune – G. Dimitrov match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group I tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between H. Rune and G. Dimitrov?: Since 2020 they have met 4 times, 2 win(s) each.
Where can I see the prediction for H. Rune – G. Dimitrov?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions