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I. Ivashka vs L. Draxl prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has L. Draxl winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
L. Draxl
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanRound of 16hard court04:00
I. Ivashka
I. Ivashka
vs
L. Draxl
L. Draxl

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

I. Ivashka
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Draxl
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
9 – 1
Wins – losses
7 – 3
18 – 6
Sets won – lost
17 – 8
7 wins
Current streak
2 wins
30-11 (73%)
2026 record
34-23 (60%)
66-51 (56%)
Record on hard court
83-57 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by I. Ivashka and L. Draxl, before this match.

Recent matches

I. Ivashka's last five matches

L. Draxl's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, I. Ivashka beat B. Zhukayev (6-0 6-4), then K. Uchida (6-2 6-4). To reach this round, L. Draxl beat Y. Du (6-1 6-0), then O. Jasika (5-7 7-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, I. Ivashka wins 44 % (30 of 68), L. Draxl 51 % (36 of 71). In deciding sets, I. Ivashka wins 54 % of the time (68 matches), L. Draxl 62 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, I. Ivashka turned 22 % of matches around (87 occasions), L. Draxl 24 % (86 occasions). After winning the first set, I. Ivashka went on to win 85 % of matches, L. Draxl 85 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about I. Ivashka – L. Draxl

Who is the favourite between I. Ivashka and L. Draxl?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has L. Draxl winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the I. Ivashka – L. Draxl match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Jinan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between I. Ivashka and L. Draxl?
No meeting between I. Ivashka and L. Draxl appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for I. Ivashka – L. Draxl?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jinan

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026