T. Machac vs L. Draxl prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has T. Machac winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
T. Machac
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanhard court04:00Time to be confirmed
T. Machac
T. Machac
vs
L. Draxl
L. Draxl

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Machac
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
L. Draxl
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
3 – 7
Wins – losses
7 – 3
6 – 18
Sets won – lost
17 – 7
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
17-15 (53%)
2026 record
35-23 (60%)
145-72 (67%)
Record on hard court
84-57 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Machac and L. Draxl, before this match.

Recent matches

T. Machac's last five matches

L. Draxl's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Machac beat A. Muller (6-3 6-4). To reach this round, L. Draxl beat Y. Du (6-1 6-0), then O. Jasika (5-7 7-6 6-4), then J. Duckworth (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Machac wins 55 % (65 of 118), L. Draxl 51 % (36 of 71). In deciding sets, T. Machac wins 59 % of the time (105 matches), L. Draxl 62 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, T. Machac turned 26 % of matches around (119 occasions), L. Draxl 24 % (86 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Machac went on to win 89 % of matches, L. Draxl 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Machac – L. Draxl

Who is the favourite between T. Machac and L. Draxl?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has T. Machac winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the T. Machac – L. Draxl match?
On Friday, 16 October 2026, at the Jinan tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between T. Machac and L. Draxl?
No meeting between T. Machac and L. Draxl appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Machac – L. Draxl?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jinan

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 October 2026

All matches on 16 October 2026