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J. Fearnley vs L. Nardi prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has J. Fearnley winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
J. Fearnley
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerOlbiaSemi-finalhard court
J. Fearnley
J. Fearnley
vs
L. Nardi
L. Nardi

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Fearnley
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
L. Nardi
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
17 – 10
Sets won – lost
12 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
2 wins
32-22 (59%)
2026 record
16-18 (47%)
65-37 (64%)
Record on hard court
103-87 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Fearnley and L. Nardi, before this match.

Recent matches

J. Fearnley's last five matches

L. Nardi's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

J. Fearnley leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Fearnley beat G. Loffhagen (6-1 6-3), then J. Kumstat (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, L. Nardi beat A. Holmgren (4-6 6-4 6-4), then L. Carboni (6-4 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by L. van Assche, who beat P. Carreno-Busta in the final (7-6 6-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Fearnley wins 51 % (33 of 65), L. Nardi 44 % (51 of 115). In deciding sets, J. Fearnley wins 71 % of the time (52 matches), L. Nardi 52 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, J. Fearnley turned 32 % of matches around (81 occasions), L. Nardi 24 % (142 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Fearnley went on to win 96 % of matches, L. Nardi 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Fearnley – L. Nardi

Who is the favourite between J. Fearnley and L. Nardi?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has J. Fearnley winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the J. Fearnley – L. Nardi match?
On Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:30, at the Olbia tournament (Semi-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Fearnley and L. Nardi?
Since 2020, J. Fearnley leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Fearnley – L. Nardi?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Olbia

Tournament page

Other matches on 17 October 2026

All matches on 17 October 2026