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J. Fearnley vs M. Mrva prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has J. Fearnley winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
J. Fearnley
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerOlbiahard courtTime to be confirmed
J. Fearnley
J. Fearnley
vs
MM
M. Mrva

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Fearnley
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Mrva
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
17 – 10
Sets won – lost
15 – 10
2 wins
Current streak
1 loss
31-22 (58%)
2026 record
29-22 (57%)
64-37 (63%)
Record on hard court
6-3 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Fearnley and M. Mrva, before this match.

Recent matches

J. Fearnley's last five matches

M. Mrva's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Fearnley beat G. Loffhagen (6-1 6-3). This is M. Mrva's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by L. van Assche, who beat P. Carreno-Busta in the final (7-6 6-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Fearnley wins 51 % (33 of 65), M. Mrva 47 % (7 of 15). In deciding sets, J. Fearnley wins 71 % of the time (52 matches), M. Mrva 61 % (23 matches). After losing the first set, J. Fearnley turned 32 % of matches around (81 occasions), M. Mrva 29 % (28 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Fearnley went on to win 96 % of matches, M. Mrva 92 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Fearnley – M. Mrva

Who is the favourite between J. Fearnley and M. Mrva?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has J. Fearnley winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the J. Fearnley – M. Mrva match?
On Friday, 16 October 2026, at the Olbia tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between J. Fearnley and M. Mrva?
No meeting between J. Fearnley and M. Mrva appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Fearnley – M. Mrva?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Olbia

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 October 2026

All matches on 16 October 2026