J. Watt vs S. Shimabukuro prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

J. WattS. Shimabukuro

17.7 %82.3 %

Model favourite: S. Shimabukuro
Probability: 82 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · S. Shimabukuro

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

ATPATP Davis Cup - World Group I04:10Time to be confirmed

J. Watt

S. Shimabukuro

1772
Elo: 2010; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 2 / 10; 0
Recent matches: 0; –
Head-to-head: Edge; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Watt

S. Shimabukuro

4 – 6
Wins – losses: 2 – 8; 10 – 13
Sets won – lost: 8 – 18; 1 loss
Current streak: 4 losses; 8-8 (50%)
2026 record: 27-25 (52%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Watt and S. Shimabukuro, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

S. Shimabukuro comes in with an Elo of 2010, against 1772 for J. Watt: a 238-point edge. J. Watt won 4 of the last ten matches, S. Shimabukuro won 2. J. Watt has 2 wins in the last five matches. S. Shimabukuro has one win in the last five matches. Since 2020, S. Shimabukuro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave S. Shimabukuro the win at 82 %, with a likely score of 2-0. S. Shimabukuro won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Watt's last five matches

DU. BlanchetQuebec City (Canada) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 18 August 20267-6 2-6 5-7
VT. BoyerQuebec City (Canada) - Qualification 2026 · Qualifying · 17 August 20267-6 6-2
DA. GrayNottingham 2026 · Qualifying · 14 June 20261-6 1-6
VT. SkatovNottingham 2026 · Qualifying · 13 June 20267-6 6-7 7-6
DD. EvansIlkley 2026 · Qualifying · 7 June 20264-6 2-6

S. Shimabukuro's last five matches

DA. RinderknechUS Open 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 August 20267-6 2-6 6-7 2-6
DM. KecmanovicWinston-Salem 2026 · Round of 64 · 23 August 20264-6 3-6
DH. HurkaczCincinnati 2026 · Round of 128 · 14 August 20262-6 4-6
DJ.J. WolfCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 13 August 20263-6 6-3 5-7
VH. DellienCincinnati 2026 · Qualifying · 12 August 20266-3 6-1

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Shimabukuro leads 1 to 0

DS. ShimabukuroZhangjiagang 2025 · Round of 32 · 26 August 20254-6 6-3 2-6

Road through the tournament

This is S. Shimabukuro's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Watt wins 63 % (15 of 24), S. Shimabukuro 50 % (52 of 105). In deciding sets, J. Watt wins 25 % of the time (12 matches), S. Shimabukuro 48 % (97 matches). After losing the first set, J. Watt turned 9 % of matches around (22 occasions), S. Shimabukuro 20 % (107 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Watt went on to win 82 % of matches, S. Shimabukuro 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Watt – S. Shimabukuro

Who is the favourite between J. Watt and S. Shimabukuro?: The match is over: S. Shimabukuro won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had S. Shimabukuro winning at 82 %.
When is the J. Watt – S. Shimabukuro match?: On Saturday, 19 September 2026, at the ATP Davis Cup - World Group I tournament (Unknown). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between J. Watt and S. Shimabukuro?: Since 2020, S. Shimabukuro leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Watt – S. Shimabukuro?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions