K. Uesugi vs Y. Watanuki prediction
AI prediction
Probability for membersThe model has Y. Watanuki winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.
- Predicted winner
- Y. Watanuki
- Probability
- Members only
- Likely score
- Members only
Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.
- 6.84
- Odds
- 1.07
Community · Who wins?
No votes yetVote for the player you think will win. One vote per person, no account needed.
Form and record before the match
Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- L
- L
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- 2 – 8
- Wins – losses
- 5 – 5
- 7 – 17
- Sets won – lost
- 12 – 11
- 1 win
- Current streak
- 1 win
- 2-4 (33%)
- 2026 record
- 9-11 (45%)
- 11-22 (33%)
- Record on hard court
- 108-73 (60%)
ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by K. Uesugi and Y. Watanuki, before this match.
Recent matches
K. Uesugi's last five matches
- VY. JinJinan 2026 · Qualifying · 11 October 20267-6 6-2
- DA. BindaGuangzhou 2 2026 · Qualifying · 13 September 20266-7 3-6
- DS. Nam JiShanghai 2026 · Qualifying · 7 September 20262-6 5-7
- DK. MatsudaZhangjiagang 2026 · Qualifying · 30 August 20267-6 6-7 4-6
- DL. PotenzaTargu Mures 2026 · Qualifying · 22 June 20264-6 3-6
Y. Watanuki's last five matches
- VS. PankinJinan 2026 · Qualifying · 11 October 20266-1 6-0
- DM. SharipovShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20267-6 5-7 2-6
- DC. H. TsengZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 16 · 2 September 20265-7 3-6
- VS. PankinZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 32 · 31 August 20266-3 7-5
- DH. MatsuokaVancouver 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 July 20264-6 2-6
Head-to-head since 2020
No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Road through the tournament
To reach this round, K. Uesugi beat Y. Jin (7-6 6-2). To reach this round, Y. Watanuki beat S. Pankin (6-1 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).
Key numbers
In tie-breaks, K. Uesugi wins 25 % (3 of 12), Y. Watanuki 52 % (54 of 104). In deciding sets, K. Uesugi wins 30 % of the time (10 matches), Y. Watanuki 54 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, K. Uesugi turned 6 % of matches around (18 occasions), Y. Watanuki 22 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, K. Uesugi went on to win 65 % of matches, Y. Watanuki 83 %.
Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.
Frequently asked questions about K. Uesugi – Y. Watanuki
- Who is the favourite between K. Uesugi and Y. Watanuki?
- Bookmakers make Y. Watanuki the favourite, priced at 1.07 against 6.84 for K. Uesugi. Pronocast's model has Y. Watanuki winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
- When is the K. Uesugi – Y. Watanuki match?
- On Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 05:00, at the Jinan tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
- What is the head-to-head between K. Uesugi and Y. Watanuki?
- No meeting between K. Uesugi and Y. Watanuki appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
- Where can I see the prediction for K. Uesugi – Y. Watanuki?
- In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.
How the model computes its predictions
Same tournament: Jinan
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