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L. Castelnuovo vs A. Santillan prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
L. CastelnuovoA. Santillan
48.0 %52.0 %
Model favourite
A. Santillan
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · A. Santillan

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerWuning 3 (China) - QualificationRound of 3209:05
L. Castelnuovo
L. Castelnuovo
vs
A. Santillan
A. Santillan
1770
Elo
1767
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
3 / 10
1
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.84
Odds
1.84

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

L. Castelnuovo
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
A. Santillan
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
10 – 13
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
10-15 (40%)
2026 record
13-19 (41%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by L. Castelnuovo and A. Santillan, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Both players come in with almost the same Elo (1770 against 1767): nothing separates them in the model's rating. L. Castelnuovo won 6 of the last ten matches, A. Santillan won 3. L. Castelnuovo has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Santillan has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make L. Castelnuovo the favourite.

The model gave A. Santillan the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Santillan won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

L. Castelnuovo's last five matches

A. Santillan's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is L. Castelnuovo's first match of the tournament. This is A. Santillan's first match of the tournament.

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, L. Castelnuovo wins 54 % (21 of 39), A. Santillan 49 % (19 of 39). In deciding sets, L. Castelnuovo wins 48 % of the time (23 matches), A. Santillan 52 % (58 matches). After losing the first set, L. Castelnuovo turned 16 % of matches around (37 occasions), A. Santillan 18 % (77 occasions). After winning the first set, L. Castelnuovo went on to win 81 % of matches, A. Santillan 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about L. Castelnuovo – A. Santillan

Who is the favourite between L. Castelnuovo and A. Santillan?
The match is over: A. Santillan won 2-1. Bookmakers cannot separate the two players: L. Castelnuovo is priced at 1.84, A. Santillan at 1.84. Pronocast's model had A. Santillan winning at 52 %.
When is the L. Castelnuovo – A. Santillan match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 09:05, at the Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification tournament (Round of 32, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between L. Castelnuovo and A. Santillan?
No meeting between L. Castelnuovo and A. Santillan appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for L. Castelnuovo – A. Santillan?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026