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F. Sun vs A. Kachmazov prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
F. SunA. Kachmazov
42.9 %57.1 %
Model favourite
A. Kachmazov
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · A. Kachmazov

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerWuning 3 (China) - QualificationQuarter-final06:40
F. Sun
F. Sun
vs
A. Kachmazov
A. Kachmazov
1856
Elo
1915
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
10 / 10
2
Recent matches
7
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.22
Odds
1.61

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

F. Sun
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. W
A. Kachmazov
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
12 – 12
Sets won – lost
14 – 11
1 win
Current streak
4 wins
28-26 (52%)
2026 record
5-5 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by F. Sun and A. Kachmazov, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Kachmazov comes in with an Elo of 1915, against 1856 for F. Sun: a 59-point edge. F. Sun won 5 of the last ten matches, A. Kachmazov won 10. F. Sun has 3 wins in the last five matches. A. Kachmazov has 4 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, A. Kachmazov leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make A. Kachmazov the favourite.

The model gave A. Kachmazov the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Kachmazov won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

F. Sun's last five matches

A. Kachmazov's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

A. Kachmazov leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, F. Sun beat K. Samrej (6-4 7-5). To reach this round, A. Kachmazov beat Y. L. Chen (6-1 6-2), then G. Lomakin (6-1 6-1), then C. Broom (4-6 7-6 6-4), then E. Zhu (7-6 7-6).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, F. Sun wins 40 % (18 of 45), A. Kachmazov 60 % (52 of 86). In deciding sets, F. Sun wins 45 % of the time (51 matches), A. Kachmazov 53 % (68 matches). After losing the first set, F. Sun turned 20 % of matches around (74 occasions), A. Kachmazov 17 % (93 occasions). After winning the first set, F. Sun went on to win 77 % of matches, A. Kachmazov 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about F. Sun – A. Kachmazov

Who is the favourite between F. Sun and A. Kachmazov?
The match is over: A. Kachmazov won 2-0. Bookmakers make A. Kachmazov the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.22 for F. Sun. Pronocast's model had A. Kachmazov winning at 57 %.
When is the F. Sun – A. Kachmazov match?
On Friday, 9 October 2026 at 06:40, at the Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification tournament (Quarter-final, Unknown).
What is the head-to-head between F. Sun and A. Kachmazov?
Since 2020, A. Kachmazov leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for F. Sun – A. Kachmazov?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification

Tournament page

Other matches on 9 October 2026

All matches on 9 October 2026