M. Tkacheva vs M. Bolkvadze prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

M. TkachevaM. Bolkvadze

46.0 %54.0 %

Model favourite: M. Bolkvadze
Probability: 54 %
Predicted score: 0-2
Actual score: 1-2 · M. Bolkvadze

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSamsunQualifyinghard court10:55

M. Tkacheva

M. Bolkvadze

1783
Elo: 1985; 1786
Elo on hard court: 1914; 6 / 10
Form (last 10): 7 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 1; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 1.99
Odds: 1.68

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Tkacheva

M. Bolkvadze

3 – 7
Wins – losses: 7 – 3; 8 – 14
Sets won – lost: 15 – 8; 1 win
Current streak: 1 win; 2-4 (33%)
2026 record: 8-5 (62%); 4-5 (44%)
Record on hard court: 20-20 (50%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Tkacheva and M. Bolkvadze, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Bolkvadze comes in with an Elo of 1985, against 1783 for M. Tkacheva: a 202-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 127 points in favour of M. Bolkvadze. M. Tkacheva won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Bolkvadze won 7. M. Tkacheva has one win in the last five matches. M. Bolkvadze has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make M. Bolkvadze the favourite.

The model gave M. Bolkvadze the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Bolkvadze won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Tkacheva's last five matches

VA. TikhonovaSamsun 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-2 6-2
DA. ZakharovaIstanbul 2 (Turkey) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 July 20264-6 6-3 4-6
DN. BartunkovaWTA Austin 2026 · Qualifying · 21 February 20261-6 1-6
DS. XuMidland 2026 · Qualifying · 15 February 20263-6 6-3 3-6
DD. VekicManila 2026 · Round of 16 · 28 January 20261-6 2-6

M. Bolkvadze's last five matches

VA. AltinelSamsun 2026 · Qualifying · 4 October 20266-1 6-0
DA. KoevermansUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 28 August 20263-6 6-7
VA. IbragimovaUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 26 August 20266-4 6-3
VE. AndreevaUS Open 2026 · Qualifying · 24 August 20266-4 7-6
DD. KasatkinaWashington 2026 · Qualifying · 25 July 20267-6 4-6 0-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Tkacheva beat A. Tikhonova (6-2 6-2). To reach this round, M. Bolkvadze beat A. Altinel (6-1 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by K. Juvan, who beat N. Bartunkova in the final (7-6 6-3).

Frequently asked questions about M. Tkacheva – M. Bolkvadze

Who is the favourite between M. Tkacheva and M. Bolkvadze?: The match is over: M. Bolkvadze won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Bolkvadze the favourite, priced at 1.68 against 1.99 for M. Tkacheva. Pronocast's model had M. Bolkvadze winning at 54 %.
When is the M. Tkacheva – M. Bolkvadze match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 10:55, at the Samsun tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Tkacheva and M. Bolkvadze?: No meeting between M. Tkacheva and M. Bolkvadze appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Tkacheva – M. Bolkvadze?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions