N. Hardt vs F. Meligeni Alves prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

N. HardtF. Meligeni Alves

39.4 %60.6 %

Model favourite: F. Meligeni Alves
Probability: 61 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · F. Meligeni Alves

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerAntofagastaRound of 16clay21:55

N. Hardt

F. Meligeni Alves

1921
Elo: 1955; 1912
Elo on clay: 1995; 5 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 1
Recent matches: 3; Even
Head-to-head: Even; 2.34
Odds: 1.52

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

N. Hardt

F. Meligeni Alves

5 – 5
Wins – losses: 4 – 6; 12 – 12
Sets won – lost: 9 – 13; 3 wins
Current streak: 1 win; 19-9 (68%)
2026 record: 13-15 (46%); 70-67 (51%)
Record on clay: 128-94 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by N. Hardt and F. Meligeni Alves, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Meligeni Alves comes in with an Elo of 1955, against 1921 for N. Hardt: a 35-point edge. On clay, the gap is 84 points in favour of F. Meligeni Alves. N. Hardt won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Meligeni Alves won 5. N. Hardt has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Meligeni Alves has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Meligeni Alves the favourite.

The model gave F. Meligeni Alves the win at 61 %, with a likely score of 2-0. F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

N. Hardt's last five matches

VG. VillanuevaAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 October 20267-5 3-6 7-5
VO. KandilATP Davis Cup - World Group II 2026 · 19 September 20266-2 6-1
VK. MabroukATP Davis Cup - World Group II 2026 · 18 September 20266-2 6-3
DM. CecchinatoPorto 2 2026 · Round of 32 · 1 September 20266-4 0-6 3-6
DK. WehneltAugsburg 2026 · Round of 32 · 25 August 20266-2 3-6 2-6

F. Meligeni Alves's last five matches

VJ. P. VarillasAntofagasta 2026 · Round of 32 · 6 October 20266-3 6-1
DG. HeideCuritiba 2026 · Round of 16 · 30 September 20263-6 4-6
VC. M. ZarateCuritiba 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20266-4 6-2
DH. DellienGenova 2026 · Round of 32 · 8 September 20263-6 2-6
DA. Sanchez QuilezMallorca 2026 · Round of 32 · 2 September 20265-7 4-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, N. Hardt beat G. Villanueva (7-5 3-6 7-5). To reach this round, F. Meligeni Alves beat J. P. Varillas (6-3 6-1). In 2025, the tournament was won by C. Garin, who beat F. Diaz Acosta in the final (2-6 6-3 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, N. Hardt wins 56 % (28 of 50), F. Meligeni Alves 59 % (65 of 111). In deciding sets, N. Hardt wins 52 % of the time (65 matches), F. Meligeni Alves 51 % (93 matches). After losing the first set, N. Hardt turned 17 % of matches around (82 occasions), F. Meligeni Alves 22 % (115 occasions). After winning the first set, N. Hardt went on to win 78 % of matches, F. Meligeni Alves 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about N. Hardt – F. Meligeni Alves

Who is the favourite between N. Hardt and F. Meligeni Alves?: The match is over: F. Meligeni Alves won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Meligeni Alves the favourite, priced at 1.52 against 2.34 for N. Hardt. Pronocast's model had F. Meligeni Alves winning at 61 %.
When is the N. Hardt – F. Meligeni Alves match?: On Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at 21:55, at the Antofagasta tournament (Round of 16, clay).
What is the head-to-head between N. Hardt and F. Meligeni Alves?: No meeting between N. Hardt and F. Meligeni Alves appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for N. Hardt – F. Meligeni Alves?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions