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Q. Vandecasteele vs P. Stearns prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
Q. VandecasteeleP. Stearns
74.5 %25.5 %
Model favourite
Q. Vandecasteele
Probability
74 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · Q. Vandecasteele

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerColumbusQualifyinghard court23:00
Q. Vandecasteele
Q. Vandecasteele
vs
P. Stearns
P. Stearns
1755
Elo
1604
1767
Elo on hard court
1577
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
0
Even
Head-to-head
Even
–
Odds
–

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Q. Vandecasteele
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
P. Stearns
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
3 – 5
14 – 9
Sets won – lost
8 – 13
2 losses
Current streak
1 loss
22-20 (52%)
2026 record
–
42-46 (48%)
Record on hard court
3-5 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Q. Vandecasteele and P. Stearns, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

Q. Vandecasteele comes in with an Elo of 1755, against 1604 for P. Stearns: a 151-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 189 points in favour of Q. Vandecasteele. Q. Vandecasteele won 6 of the last ten matches, P. Stearns won 7. Q. Vandecasteele has 2 wins in the last five matches. P. Stearns has 2 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave Q. Vandecasteele the win at 74 %, with a likely score of 2-0. Q. Vandecasteele won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

Q. Vandecasteele's last five matches

P. Stearns's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is Q. Vandecasteele's first match of the tournament. This is P. Stearns's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by M. Zheng, who beat M. Damm in the final (3-6 6-3 7-5).

Frequently asked questions about Q. Vandecasteele – P. Stearns

Who is the favourite between Q. Vandecasteele and P. Stearns?
The match is over: Q. Vandecasteele won 2-1. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had Q. Vandecasteele winning at 74 %.
When is the Q. Vandecasteele – P. Stearns match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 23:00, at the Columbus tournament (Qualifying, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Q. Vandecasteele and P. Stearns?
No meeting between Q. Vandecasteele and P. Stearns appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Q. Vandecasteele – P. Stearns?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Columbus

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026