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S. Costoulas vs D. Astakhova prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
S. CostoulasD. Astakhova
55.7 %44.3 %
Model favourite
S. Costoulas
Probability
56 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-1 · D. Astakhova

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court07:45
S. Costoulas
S. Costoulas
vs
D. Astakhova
D. Astakhova
1895
Elo
1981
1811
Elo on hard court
1925
4 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
3
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.71
Odds
2.00

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Costoulas
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
D. Astakhova
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
11 – 12
Sets won – lost
13 – 12
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
19-16 (54%)
2026 record
9-8 (53%)
17-14 (55%)
Record on hard court
5-8 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Costoulas and D. Astakhova, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

D. Astakhova comes in with an Elo of 1981, against 1895 for S. Costoulas: a 86-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 115 points in favour of D. Astakhova. S. Costoulas won 4 of the last ten matches, D. Astakhova won 7. S. Costoulas has 2 wins in the last five matches. D. Astakhova has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make S. Costoulas the favourite.

The model gave S. Costoulas the win at 56 %, with a likely score of 2-0. D. Astakhova won 1-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

S. Costoulas's last five matches

D. Astakhova's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is S. Costoulas's first match of the tournament. This is D. Astakhova's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, S. Costoulas wins 58 % of the time (19 matches), D. Astakhova 56 % (18 matches). After losing the first set, S. Costoulas turned 21 % of matches around (24 occasions), D. Astakhova 20 % (25 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Costoulas went on to win 80 % of matches, D. Astakhova 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Costoulas – D. Astakhova

Who is the favourite between S. Costoulas and D. Astakhova?
The match is over: D. Astakhova won 1-0. Bookmakers make S. Costoulas the favourite, priced at 1.71 against 2.00 for D. Astakhova. Pronocast's model had S. Costoulas winning at 56 %.
When is the S. Costoulas – D. Astakhova match?
On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 07:45, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Costoulas and D. Astakhova?
No meeting between S. Costoulas and D. Astakhova appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Costoulas – D. Astakhova?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Suzhou

Tournament page

Other matches on 5 October 2026

All matches on 5 October 2026