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S. Mochizuki vs D. Sweeny prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has S. Mochizuki winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
S. Mochizuki
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanRound of 16hard court04:00
S. Mochizuki
S. Mochizuki
vs
D. Sweeny
D. Sweeny

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Mochizuki
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
D. Sweeny
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
4 – 6
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
10 – 16
1 loss
Current streak
1 loss
22-32 (41%)
2026 record
26-26 (50%)
119-112 (52%)
Record on hard court
81-93 (47%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Mochizuki and D. Sweeny, before this match.

Recent matches

S. Mochizuki's last five matches

D. Sweeny's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

S. Mochizuki leads 1 to 0

Road through the tournament

This is S. Mochizuki's first match of the tournament. This is D. Sweeny's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Mochizuki wins 55 % (59 of 107), D. Sweeny 51 % (32 of 63). In deciding sets, S. Mochizuki wins 53 % of the time (122 matches), D. Sweeny 53 % (62 matches). After losing the first set, S. Mochizuki turned 20 % of matches around (172 occasions), D. Sweeny 21 % (117 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Mochizuki went on to win 83 % of matches, D. Sweeny 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Mochizuki – D. Sweeny

Who is the favourite between S. Mochizuki and D. Sweeny?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has S. Mochizuki winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the S. Mochizuki – D. Sweeny match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Jinan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between S. Mochizuki and D. Sweeny?
Since 2020, S. Mochizuki leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Mochizuki – D. Sweeny?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jinan

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026