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S. Mochizuki vs Y. Watanuki prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has S. Mochizuki winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
S. Mochizuki
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanhard court04:00Time to be confirmed
S. Mochizuki
S. Mochizuki
vs
Y. Watanuki
Y. Watanuki

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Mochizuki
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W
Y. Watanuki
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
4 – 6
Wins – losses
5 – 5
8 – 15
Sets won – lost
12 – 10
1 win
Current streak
3 wins
23-32 (42%)
2026 record
11-11 (50%)
120-112 (52%)
Record on hard court
110-73 (60%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Mochizuki and Y. Watanuki, before this match.

Recent matches

S. Mochizuki's last five matches

Y. Watanuki's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, S. Mochizuki beat F. Diaz Acosta (6-2 7-6). To reach this round, Y. Watanuki beat S. Pankin (6-1 6-0), then K. Uesugi (6-2 6-2), then A. Ilagan (6-2 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, S. Mochizuki wins 56 % (60 of 108), Y. Watanuki 52 % (54 of 104). In deciding sets, S. Mochizuki wins 53 % of the time (122 matches), Y. Watanuki 54 % (76 matches). After losing the first set, S. Mochizuki turned 20 % of matches around (172 occasions), Y. Watanuki 22 % (92 occasions). After winning the first set, S. Mochizuki went on to win 83 % of matches, Y. Watanuki 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Mochizuki – Y. Watanuki

Who is the favourite between S. Mochizuki and Y. Watanuki?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has S. Mochizuki winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the S. Mochizuki – Y. Watanuki match?
On Friday, 16 October 2026, at the Jinan tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between S. Mochizuki and Y. Watanuki?
No meeting between S. Mochizuki and Y. Watanuki appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Mochizuki – Y. Watanuki?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jinan

Tournament page

Other matches on 16 October 2026

All matches on 16 October 2026