S. Pankin vs Y. Watanuki prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has Y. Watanuki winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner: Y. Watanuki
Probability: Members only
Likely score: Members only

See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanhard court08:30Time to be confirmed

S. Pankin

Y. Watanuki

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

S. Pankin

Y. Watanuki

2 – 8
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 7 – 16
Sets won – lost: 12 – 12; 6 losses
Current streak: 2 losses; 5-10 (33%)
2026 record: 8-11 (42%); 9-12 (43%)
Record on hard court: 107-73 (59%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by S. Pankin and Y. Watanuki, before this match.

Recent matches

S. Pankin's last five matches

DM. SharipovWuning 3 (China) - Qualification 2026 · Round of 32 · 5 October 20265-7 4-6
DA. BoltJingshan 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 September 20263-6 2-6
DE. YmerGuangzhou 2 2026 · Round of 32 · 14 September 20267-5 5-7 3-6
DA. GalarneauShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20266-7 4-6
DY. WatanukiZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 32 · 31 August 20263-6 5-7

Y. Watanuki's last five matches

DM. SharipovShanghai 2026 · Round of 32 · 7 September 20267-6 5-7 2-6
DC. H. TsengZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 16 · 2 September 20265-7 3-6
VS. PankinZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 32 · 31 August 20266-3 7-5
DH. MatsuokaVancouver 2026 · Round of 32 · 29 July 20264-6 2-6
DT. SamuelWinnipeg 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 July 20260-6 1-6

Head-to-head since 2020

Y. Watanuki leads 1 to 0

DY. WatanukiZhangjiagang 2026 · Round of 32 · 31 August 20263-6 5-7

Road through the tournament

This is S. Pankin's first match of the tournament. This is Y. Watanuki's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

After winning the first set, S. Pankin went on to win 62 % of matches, Y. Watanuki 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about S. Pankin – Y. Watanuki

Who is the favourite between S. Pankin and Y. Watanuki?: No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has Y. Watanuki winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the S. Pankin – Y. Watanuki match?: On Sunday, 11 October 2026, at the Jinan tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between S. Pankin and Y. Watanuki?: Since 2020, Y. Watanuki leads 1 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for S. Pankin – Y. Watanuki?: In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions