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T. Monteiro vs M. Trungelliti prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
T. MonteiroM. Trungelliti
45.8 %54.2 %
Model favourite
M. Trungelliti
Probability
54 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · T. Monteiro

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinSemi-finalclay14:10
T. Monteiro
T. Monteiro
vs
M. Trungelliti
M. Trungelliti
2041
Elo
2085
2036
Elo on clay
2063
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
7 / 10
5
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
2.07
Odds
1.64

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

T. Monteiro
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
M. Trungelliti
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
7 – 3
15 – 9
Sets won – lost
17 – 12
3 wins
Current streak
3 wins
32-16 (67%)
2026 record
31-25 (55%)
151-97 (61%)
Record on clay
138-75 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by T. Monteiro and M. Trungelliti, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Trungelliti comes in with an Elo of 2085, against 2041 for T. Monteiro: a 44-point edge. On clay, the gap is 26 points in favour of M. Trungelliti. T. Monteiro won 7 of the last ten matches, M. Trungelliti won 7. T. Monteiro has 4 wins in the last five matches. M. Trungelliti has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite.

The model gave M. Trungelliti the win at 54 %, with a likely score of 2-0. T. Monteiro won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

T. Monteiro's last five matches

M. Trungelliti's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 1

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, T. Monteiro beat S. Travaglia (6-3 7-6), then V. Sachko (6-7 6-4 7-6), then D. Dedura (6-4 6-2). To reach this round, M. Trungelliti beat S. Cuenin (7-6 6-2), then F. Pieczonka (6-7 7-5 6-4), then M. Cecchinato (7-6 7-5). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, T. Monteiro wins 52 % (92 of 176), M. Trungelliti 49 % (54 of 111). In deciding sets, T. Monteiro wins 56 % of the time (143 matches), M. Trungelliti 60 % (131 matches). After losing the first set, T. Monteiro turned 30 % of matches around (158 occasions), M. Trungelliti 32 % (141 occasions). After winning the first set, T. Monteiro went on to win 80 % of matches, M. Trungelliti 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about T. Monteiro – M. Trungelliti

Who is the favourite between T. Monteiro and M. Trungelliti?
The match is over: T. Monteiro won 2-1. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite, priced at 1.64 against 2.07 for T. Monteiro. Pronocast's model had M. Trungelliti winning at 54 %.
When is the T. Monteiro – M. Trungelliti match?
On Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:10, at the Szczecin tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between T. Monteiro and M. Trungelliti?
Since 2020, M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 1 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for T. Monteiro – M. Trungelliti?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 19 September 2026

All matches on 19 September 2026