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M. Cecchinato vs M. Trungelliti prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. CecchinatoM. Trungelliti
42.2 %57.8 %
Model favourite
M. Trungelliti
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
0-2
Exact score
Actual score
0-2 · M. Trungelliti

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerSzczecinQuarter-finalclay15:10
M. Cecchinato
M. Cecchinato
vs
M. Trungelliti
M. Trungelliti
2017
Elo
2074
1996
Elo on clay
2049
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
3
Recent matches
3
–
Head-to-head
Edge
2.20
Odds
1.61

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Cecchinato
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Trungelliti
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 4
Wins – losses
6 – 4
14 – 10
Sets won – lost
16 – 14
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
37-26 (59%)
2026 record
30-25 (55%)
181-135 (57%)
Record on clay
137-75 (65%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Cecchinato and M. Trungelliti, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

M. Trungelliti comes in with an Elo of 2074, against 2017 for M. Cecchinato: a 56-point edge. On clay, the gap is 53 points in favour of M. Trungelliti. M. Cecchinato won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Trungelliti won 6. M. Cecchinato has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Trungelliti has 3 wins in the last five matches. Since 2020, M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite.

The model gave M. Trungelliti the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. M. Trungelliti won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Cecchinato's last five matches

M. Trungelliti's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 0

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Cecchinato beat H. Squire (7-5 6-3), then M. Moeller (7-6 6-7 6-2). To reach this round, M. Trungelliti beat S. Cuenin (7-6 6-2), then F. Pieczonka (6-7 7-5 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by T. A. Tirante, who beat P. Llamas Ruiz in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, M. Cecchinato wins 58 % (79 of 137), M. Trungelliti 48 % (53 of 110). In deciding sets, M. Cecchinato wins 47 % of the time (102 matches), M. Trungelliti 60 % (131 matches). After losing the first set, M. Cecchinato turned 15 % of matches around (149 occasions), M. Trungelliti 32 % (141 occasions). After winning the first set, M. Cecchinato went on to win 84 % of matches, M. Trungelliti 83 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about M. Cecchinato – M. Trungelliti

Who is the favourite between M. Cecchinato and M. Trungelliti?
The match is over: M. Trungelliti won 2-0. Bookmakers make M. Trungelliti the favourite, priced at 1.61 against 2.20 for M. Cecchinato. Pronocast's model had M. Trungelliti winning at 58 %.
When is the M. Cecchinato – M. Trungelliti match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 15:10, at the Szczecin tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between M. Cecchinato and M. Trungelliti?
Since 2020, M. Trungelliti leads 2 to 0 in their direct meetings.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Cecchinato – M. Trungelliti?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Szczecin

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026