X. Yao vs A. Sasnovich prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction

X. YaoA. Sasnovich

18.5 %81.5 %

Model favourite: A. Sasnovich
Probability: 81 %
Predicted score: 0-2; Exact score
Actual score: 0-2 · A. Sasnovich

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerSuzhouRound of 32hard court10:45

X. Yao

A. Sasnovich

1781
Elo: 2094; 1806
Elo on hard court: 2062; 4 / 10
Form (last 10): 5 / 10; 2
Recent matches: 6; Even
Head-to-head: Even; –
Odds: –

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

X. Yao

A. Sasnovich

6 – 4
Wins – losses: 5 – 5; 14 – 10
Sets won – lost: 12 – 10; 2 losses
Current streak: 1 loss; 6-4 (60%)
2026 record: 29-23 (56%); 7-12 (37%)
Record on hard court: 91-79 (54%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by X. Yao and A. Sasnovich, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Sasnovich comes in with an Elo of 2094, against 1781 for X. Yao: a 314-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 256 points in favour of A. Sasnovich. X. Yao won 4 of the last ten matches, A. Sasnovich won 5. X. Yao has 2 wins in the last five matches. A. Sasnovich has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. No bookmaker odds are available for this match.

The model gave A. Sasnovich the win at 81 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Sasnovich won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

X. Yao's last five matches

DM. InglisBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20261-6 5-7
DM. JointSeoul 2026 · Round of 32 · 21 September 20266-2 6-7 3-6
VM. KuramochiSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 20 September 20266-1 6-4
VP. HonSeoul 2026 · Qualifying · 19 September 20266-7 7-6 7-5
DX. YouJiujiang (China) - Qualification 2026 · Semi-final · 9 May 20265-7 2-6

A. Sasnovich's last five matches

DE. AlexandrovaBeijing 2026 · Round of 64 · 2 October 20261-6 4-6
VT. GibsonBeijing 2026 · Round of 128 · 30 September 20266-1 6-4
VV. LepchenkoBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 29 September 20266-4 6-1
VJ. ZhangBeijing 2026 · Qualifying · 28 September 20266-2 6-0
DM. AndreevaSingapore 2026 · Round of 16 · 23 September 20262-6 2-6

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is X. Yao's first match of the tournament. This is A. Sasnovich's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by V. Golubic, who beat K. Volynets in the final (4-6 6-4 6-4).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, X. Yao turned 13 % of matches around (15 occasions), A. Sasnovich 17 % (123 occasions).

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about X. Yao – A. Sasnovich

Who is the favourite between X. Yao and A. Sasnovich?: The match is over: A. Sasnovich won 2-0. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model had A. Sasnovich winning at 81 %.
When is the X. Yao – A. Sasnovich match?: On Monday, 5 October 2026 at 10:45, at the Suzhou tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between X. Yao and A. Sasnovich?: No meeting between X. Yao and A. Sasnovich appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for X. Yao – A. Sasnovich?: The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions