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Y. Ma vs D. Kasatkina prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has D. Kasatkina winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
D. Kasatkina
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

WTATokyohard courtTime to be confirmed
Y. Ma
Y. Ma
vs
D. Kasatkina
D. Kasatkina

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Ma
  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
D. Kasatkina
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
4 – 6
Wins – losses
3 – 7
9 – 14
Sets won – lost
9 – 17
3 losses
Current streak
2 losses
8-12 (40%)
2026 record
22-22 (50%)
25-25 (50%)
Record on hard court
104-83 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Ma and D. Kasatkina, before this match.

Recent matches

Y. Ma's last five matches

D. Kasatkina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is Y. Ma's first match of the tournament. This is D. Kasatkina's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by B. Bencic, who beat L. Noskova in the final (6-2 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Ma wins 57 % (8 of 14), D. Kasatkina 43 % (26 of 61). In deciding sets, Y. Ma wins 50 % of the time (20 matches), D. Kasatkina 58 % (111 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Ma turned 21 % of matches around (34 occasions), D. Kasatkina 28 % (141 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Ma went on to win 73 % of matches, D. Kasatkina 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Ma – D. Kasatkina

Who is the favourite between Y. Ma and D. Kasatkina?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has D. Kasatkina winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the Y. Ma – D. Kasatkina match?
On Saturday, 24 October 2026, at the Tokyo tournament (hard court). The time is still to be confirmed.
What is the head-to-head between Y. Ma and D. Kasatkina?
No meeting between Y. Ma and D. Kasatkina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Ma – D. Kasatkina?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Tokyo

Tournament page

Other matches on 24 October 2026

All matches on 24 October 2026