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Y. Watanuki vs M. Cilic prediction

AI prediction

Probability for members

The model has M. Cilic winning this match. Create a free account to see with what probability, and the most likely set score.

Predicted winner
M. Cilic
Probability
Members only
Likely score
Members only
See the probability and scoreFree during the beta

Every prediction is computed before the match and never edited afterwards: the model's real accuracy is published match by match.

Men's ChallengerJinanRound of 16hard court04:00
Y. Watanuki
Y. Watanuki
vs
M. Cilic
M. Cilic

Community · Who wins?

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Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

Y. Watanuki
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
M. Cilic
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
5 – 5
Wins – losses
3 – 7
12 – 10
Sets won – lost
9 – 18
2 wins
Current streak
3 losses
10-11 (48%)
2026 record
14-16 (47%)
109-73 (60%)
Record on hard court
61-49 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by Y. Watanuki and M. Cilic, before this match.

Recent matches

Y. Watanuki's last five matches

M. Cilic's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, Y. Watanuki beat S. Pankin (6-1 6-0), then K. Uesugi (6-2 6-2). This is M. Cilic's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by A. Cazaux, who beat M. McDonald in the final (6-3 6-2).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, Y. Watanuki wins 52 % (54 of 104), M. Cilic 47 % (43 of 91). In deciding sets, Y. Watanuki wins 54 % of the time (76 matches), M. Cilic 52 % (66 matches). After losing the first set, Y. Watanuki turned 22 % of matches around (92 occasions), M. Cilic 24 % (80 occasions). After winning the first set, Y. Watanuki went on to win 83 % of matches, M. Cilic 81 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about Y. Watanuki – M. Cilic

Who is the favourite between Y. Watanuki and M. Cilic?
No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Pronocast's model has M. Cilic winning. The win probability and most likely score are for members before the match.
When is the Y. Watanuki – M. Cilic match?
On Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 04:00, at the Jinan tournament (Round of 16, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between Y. Watanuki and M. Cilic?
No meeting between Y. Watanuki and M. Cilic appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for Y. Watanuki – M. Cilic?
In the Pronocast app, for members: probability of winning, most likely score and comparison with the odds. It will be published on this page with the result once the match is over.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Jinan

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 October 2026

All matches on 15 October 2026