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A. Aksu vs E. Malygina prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
A. AksuE. Malygina
57.8 %42.2 %
Model favourite
A. Aksu
Probability
58 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
1-2 · E. Malygina

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerCaldas da RainhaRound of 32hard court18:10
A. Aksu
A. Aksu
vs
E. Malygina
E. Malygina
1920
Elo
1788
1889
Elo on hard court
1856
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
0
Recent matches
2
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.60
Odds
2.20

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Aksu
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L
E. Malygina
  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
10 – 13
Sets won – lost
13 – 11
2 losses
Current streak
2 wins
9-9 (50%)
2026 record
4-3 (57%)
7-7 (50%)
Record on hard court
2-1 (67%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Aksu and E. Malygina, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Aksu comes in with an Elo of 1920, against 1788 for E. Malygina: a 132-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 33 points in favour of A. Aksu. A. Aksu won 5 of the last ten matches, E. Malygina won 5. A. Aksu has 2 wins in the last five matches. E. Malygina has 3 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to E. Malygina. Bookmakers make A. Aksu the favourite.

The model gave A. Aksu the win at 58 %, with a likely score of 2-0. E. Malygina won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

A. Aksu's last five matches

E. Malygina's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Aksu's first match of the tournament. To reach this round, E. Malygina beat G. Pereira De Aguiar (6-0 6-2), then G. da Silva Fick (7-6 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Iatcenko, who beat G. Knutson in the final (6-2 5-7 6-2).

Key numbers

After losing the first set, A. Aksu turned 11 % of matches around (19 occasions), E. Malygina 7 % (14 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Aksu went on to win 94 % of matches, E. Malygina 73 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Aksu – E. Malygina

Who is the favourite between A. Aksu and E. Malygina?
The match is over: E. Malygina won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Aksu the favourite, priced at 1.60 against 2.20 for E. Malygina. Pronocast's model had A. Aksu winning at 58 %.
When is the A. Aksu – E. Malygina match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 18:10, at the Caldas da Rainha tournament (Round of 32, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between A. Aksu and E. Malygina?
No meeting between A. Aksu and E. Malygina appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Aksu – E. Malygina?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Caldas da Rainha

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026