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M. Rapolu vs G. Knutson prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
M. RapoluG. Knutson
43.4 %56.6 %
Model favourite
G. Knutson
Probability
57 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
1-2 · G. Knutson

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerCaldas da RainhaQuarter-finalhard court14:35
M. Rapolu
M. Rapolu
vs
G. Knutson
G. Knutson
1967
Elo
2008
1920
Elo on hard court
1961
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
7
Recent matches
2
Edge
Head-to-head
–
2.21
Odds
1.56

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

M. Rapolu
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
G. Knutson
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
6 – 3
Wins – losses
8 – 2
12 – 7
Sets won – lost
16 – 4
4 wins
Current streak
2 wins
4-1 (80%)
2026 record
19-13 (59%)
6-3 (67%)
Record on hard court
28-20 (58%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by M. Rapolu and G. Knutson, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

G. Knutson comes in with an Elo of 2008, against 1967 for M. Rapolu: a 41-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 41 points in favour of G. Knutson. M. Rapolu won 7 of the last ten matches, G. Knutson won 8. M. Rapolu has 4 wins in the last five matches. G. Knutson has 4 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to M. Rapolu. Bookmakers make G. Knutson the favourite.

The model gave G. Knutson the win at 57 %, with a likely score of 2-0. G. Knutson won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

M. Rapolu's last five matches

G. Knutson's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, M. Rapolu beat Z. Kulambayeva (6-3 6-2), then S. Johnson (6-0 6-2), then C. Werner (6-2 6-4), then N. Noha Akugue (4-6 6-3 6-0). To reach this round, G. Knutson beat A. Ito (7-6 6-2), then A. Koevermans (6-3 6-2). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Iatcenko, who beat G. Knutson in the final (6-2 5-7 6-2).

Frequently asked questions about M. Rapolu – G. Knutson

Who is the favourite between M. Rapolu and G. Knutson?
The match is over: G. Knutson won 2-1. Bookmakers make G. Knutson the favourite, priced at 1.56 against 2.21 for M. Rapolu. Pronocast's model had G. Knutson winning at 57 %.
When is the M. Rapolu – G. Knutson match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 14:35, at the Caldas da Rainha tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between M. Rapolu and G. Knutson?
No meeting between M. Rapolu and G. Knutson appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for M. Rapolu – G. Knutson?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Caldas da Rainha

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026