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J. Vandromme vs F. Jorge prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. VandrommeF. Jorge
75.9 %24.1 %
Model favourite
J. Vandromme
Probability
76 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · J. Vandromme

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Women's ChallengerCaldas da RainhaQuarter-finalhard court15:40
J. Vandromme
J. Vandromme
vs
F. Jorge
F. Jorge
2102
Elo
1913
2089
Elo on hard court
1876
7 / 10
Form (last 10)
6 / 10
2
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.30
Odds
3.75

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Vandromme
  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
F. Jorge
  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
7 – 3
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 7
Sets won – lost
11 – 11
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
13-7 (65%)
2026 record
9-9 (50%)
5-3 (63%)
Record on hard court
5-8 (38%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Vandromme and F. Jorge, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Vandromme comes in with an Elo of 2102, against 1913 for F. Jorge: a 189-point edge. On hard court, the gap is 213 points in favour of J. Vandromme. J. Vandromme won 7 of the last ten matches, F. Jorge won 6. J. Vandromme has 3 wins in the last five matches. F. Jorge has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Vandromme the favourite.

The model gave J. Vandromme the win at 76 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Vandromme won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Vandromme's last five matches

F. Jorge's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Vandromme beat C. Tomai (6-0 6-0), then E. Malygina (6-3 4-6 7-5). To reach this round, F. Jorge beat X. Gao (6-3 6-3), then V. Jimenez Kasintseva (6-2 4-6 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by P. Iatcenko, who beat G. Knutson in the final (6-2 5-7 6-2).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, J. Vandromme wins 50 % of the time (10 matches), F. Jorge 46 % (13 matches). After winning the first set, J. Vandromme went on to win 86 % of matches, F. Jorge 80 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Vandromme – F. Jorge

Who is the favourite between J. Vandromme and F. Jorge?
The match is over: J. Vandromme won 2-1. Bookmakers make J. Vandromme the favourite, priced at 1.30 against 3.75 for F. Jorge. Pronocast's model had J. Vandromme winning at 76 %.
When is the J. Vandromme – F. Jorge match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 15:40, at the Caldas da Rainha tournament (Quarter-final, hard court).
What is the head-to-head between J. Vandromme and F. Jorge?
No meeting between J. Vandromme and F. Jorge appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Vandromme – F. Jorge?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Caldas da Rainha

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026