A. Barrena vs F. Mena prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BarrenaF. Mena
50.7 %49.3 %
Model favourite
A. Barrena
Probability
51 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · A. Barrena

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Finalclay22:25
A. Barrena
A. Barrena
vs
F. Mena
F. Mena
1930
Elo
1959
1928
Elo on clay
1978
8 / 10
Form (last 10)
9 / 10
8
Recent matches
4
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.98
Odds
1.80

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Barrena
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
F. Mena
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
9 – 1
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
18 – 4
4 wins
Current streak
9 wins
27-25 (52%)
2026 record
26-18 (59%)
84-67 (56%)
Record on clay
125-97 (56%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Barrena and F. Mena, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Mena comes in with an Elo of 1959, against 1930 for A. Barrena: a 28-point edge. On clay, the gap is 50 points in favour of F. Mena. A. Barrena won 8 of the last ten matches, F. Mena won 9. A. Barrena has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Mena has 5 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Mena the favourite.

The model gave A. Barrena the win at 51 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Barrena won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Barrena's last five matches

F. Mena's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, A. Barrena beat V. Garay (6-2 6-2), then J. P. Ficovich (6-3 7-5), then J. C. Prado Angelo (6-4 6-4), then J. Aguilar Cardozo (6-4 6-3). To reach this round, F. Mena beat R. Olivo (6-2 6-1), then G. I. Justo (6-4 7-6), then N. Kicker (6-4 6-4), then P. Boscardin Dias (7-5 6-0). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Barrena wins 53 % (23 of 43), F. Mena 50 % (51 of 101). In deciding sets, A. Barrena wins 53 % of the time (53 matches), F. Mena 54 % (79 matches). After losing the first set, A. Barrena turned 24 % of matches around (79 occasions), F. Mena 19 % (129 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Barrena went on to win 88 % of matches, F. Mena 87 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Barrena – F. Mena

Who is the favourite between A. Barrena and F. Mena?
The match is over: A. Barrena won 2-0. Bookmakers make F. Mena the favourite, priced at 1.80 against 1.98 for A. Barrena. Pronocast's model had A. Barrena winning at 51 %.
When is the A. Barrena – F. Mena match?
On Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 22:25, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between A. Barrena and F. Mena?
No meeting between A. Barrena and F. Mena appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Barrena – F. Mena?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 27 September 2026

All matches on 27 September 2026