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J. Aguilar Cardozo vs J. P. Varillas prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
J. Aguilar CardozoJ. P. Varillas
63.4 %36.6 %
Model favourite
J. Aguilar Cardozo
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Exact score
Actual score
2-0 · J. Aguilar Cardozo

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Quarter-finalclay21:30
J. Aguilar Cardozo
J. Aguilar Cardozo
vs
J. P. Varillas
J. P. Varillas
2052
Elo
1977
2067
Elo on clay
1960
10 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
5
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.50
Odds
2.52

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Aguilar Cardozo
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
J. P. Varillas
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
8 – 2
16 – 6
Sets won – lost
16 – 9
5 wins
Current streak
4 wins
15-7 (68%)
2026 record
31-20 (61%)
21-17 (55%)
Record on clay
173-102 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Aguilar Cardozo and J. P. Varillas, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Aguilar Cardozo comes in with an Elo of 2052, against 1977 for J. P. Varillas: a 75-point edge. On clay, the gap is 106 points in favour of J. Aguilar Cardozo. J. Aguilar Cardozo won 10 of the last ten matches, J. P. Varillas won 8. J. Aguilar Cardozo has 5 wins in the last five matches. J. P. Varillas has 4 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make J. Aguilar Cardozo the favourite.

The model gave J. Aguilar Cardozo the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Aguilar Cardozo won 2-0: prediction correct.

Recent matches

J. Aguilar Cardozo's last five matches

J. P. Varillas's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Aguilar Cardozo beat F. Aguilar Cardozo (6-4 7-5), then M. Del Pino (6-1 6-2), then C. M. Zarate (6-2 6-1), then F. Comesana (7-5 6-7 6-4). To reach this round, J. P. Varillas beat T. Farjat (3-6 6-2 7-6), then M. A. Dellien Velasco (4-6 7-5 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, J. Aguilar Cardozo wins 50 % of the time (12 matches), J. P. Varillas 59 % (108 matches). After losing the first set, J. Aguilar Cardozo turned 5 % of matches around (19 occasions), J. P. Varillas 21 % (136 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Aguilar Cardozo went on to win 88 % of matches, J. P. Varillas 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Aguilar Cardozo – J. P. Varillas

Who is the favourite between J. Aguilar Cardozo and J. P. Varillas?
The match is over: J. Aguilar Cardozo won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Aguilar Cardozo the favourite, priced at 1.50 against 2.52 for J. P. Varillas. Pronocast's model had J. Aguilar Cardozo winning at 63 %.
When is the J. Aguilar Cardozo – J. P. Varillas match?
On Friday, 25 September 2026 at 21:30, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between J. Aguilar Cardozo and J. P. Varillas?
No meeting between J. Aguilar Cardozo and J. P. Varillas appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Aguilar Cardozo – J. P. Varillas?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 25 September 2026

All matches on 25 September 2026