J. Aguilar Cardozo vs A. Barrena prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. Aguilar CardozoA. Barrena
63.3 %36.7 %
Model favourite
J. Aguilar Cardozo
Probability
63 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
0-2 · A. Barrena

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBuenos Aires 3Semi-finalclay21:50
2070
Elo
1907
2083
Elo on clay
1903
10 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
6
Recent matches
8
–
Head-to-head
Edge
1.47
Odds
2.62

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Aguilar Cardozo
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
A. Barrena
  1. W
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W
8 – 2
Wins – losses
8 – 2
16 – 5
Sets won – lost
16 – 7
6 wins
Current streak
3 wins
16-7 (70%)
2026 record
26-25 (51%)
22-17 (56%)
Record on clay
83-67 (55%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Aguilar Cardozo and A. Barrena, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

J. Aguilar Cardozo comes in with an Elo of 2070, against 1907 for A. Barrena: a 163-point edge. On clay, the gap is 179 points in favour of J. Aguilar Cardozo. J. Aguilar Cardozo won 10 of the last ten matches, A. Barrena won 8. J. Aguilar Cardozo has 5 wins in the last five matches. A. Barrena has 4 wins in the last five matches. In their recent head-to-head meetings, the edge goes to A. Barrena. Bookmakers make J. Aguilar Cardozo the favourite.

The model gave J. Aguilar Cardozo the win at 63 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Barrena won 2-0: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Aguilar Cardozo's last five matches

A. Barrena's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Aguilar Cardozo beat F. Aguilar Cardozo (6-4 7-5), then M. Del Pino (6-1 6-2), then C. M. Zarate (6-2 6-1), then F. Comesana (7-5 6-7 6-4), then J. P. Varillas (6-2 6-4). To reach this round, A. Barrena beat V. Garay (6-2 6-2), then J. P. Ficovich (6-3 7-5), then J. C. Prado Angelo (6-4 6-4). In 2025, the tournament was won by R. A. Burruchaga, who beat A. Barrena in the final (7-6 6-3).

Key numbers

In deciding sets, J. Aguilar Cardozo wins 50 % of the time (12 matches), A. Barrena 53 % (53 matches). After losing the first set, J. Aguilar Cardozo turned 5 % of matches around (19 occasions), A. Barrena 24 % (79 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Aguilar Cardozo went on to win 88 % of matches, A. Barrena 88 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Aguilar Cardozo – A. Barrena

Who is the favourite between J. Aguilar Cardozo and A. Barrena?
The match is over: A. Barrena won 2-0. Bookmakers make J. Aguilar Cardozo the favourite, priced at 1.47 against 2.62 for A. Barrena. Pronocast's model had J. Aguilar Cardozo winning at 63 %.
When is the J. Aguilar Cardozo – A. Barrena match?
On Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 21:50, at the Buenos Aires 3 tournament (Semi-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between J. Aguilar Cardozo and A. Barrena?
No meeting between J. Aguilar Cardozo and A. Barrena appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Aguilar Cardozo – A. Barrena?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Buenos Aires 3

Tournament page

Other matches on 26 September 2026

All matches on 26 September 2026