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A. Barrena vs M. Chazal prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Correct prediction
A. BarrenaM. Chazal
66.4 %33.6 %
Model favourite
A. Barrena
Probability
66 %
Predicted score
2-0
Actual score
2-1 · A. Barrena

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBiellaRound of 32clay13:40
A. Barrena
A. Barrena
vs
M. Chazal
M. Chazal
1859
Elo
1777
1851
Elo on clay
1771
6 / 10
Form (last 10)
8 / 10
5
Recent matches
1
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.45
Odds
2.59

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

A. Barrena
  1. W
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L
M. Chazal
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L
6 – 4
Wins – losses
2 – 8
12 – 11
Sets won – lost
7 – 17
1 loss
Current streak
4 losses
20-24 (45%)
2026 record
7-10 (41%)
77-66 (54%)
Record on clay
23-32 (42%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by A. Barrena and M. Chazal, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

A. Barrena comes in with an Elo of 1859, against 1777 for M. Chazal: a 83-point edge. On clay, the gap is 80 points in favour of A. Barrena. A. Barrena won 6 of the last ten matches, M. Chazal won 8. A. Barrena has 3 wins in the last five matches. M. Chazal has one win in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make A. Barrena the favourite.

The model gave A. Barrena the win at 66 %, with a likely score of 2-0. A. Barrena won 2-1: prediction correct.

Recent matches

A. Barrena's last five matches

M. Chazal's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

This is A. Barrena's first match of the tournament. This is M. Chazal's first match of the tournament. In 2025, the tournament was won by S. Napolitano, who beat K. Feldbausch in the final (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, A. Barrena wins 53 % (23 of 43), M. Chazal 50 % (9 of 18). In deciding sets, A. Barrena wins 52 % of the time (52 matches), M. Chazal 46 % (26 matches). After losing the first set, A. Barrena turned 24 % of matches around (78 occasions), M. Chazal 13 % (48 occasions). After winning the first set, A. Barrena went on to win 87 % of matches, M. Chazal 76 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about A. Barrena – M. Chazal

Who is the favourite between A. Barrena and M. Chazal?
The match is over: A. Barrena won 2-1. Bookmakers make A. Barrena the favourite, priced at 1.45 against 2.59 for M. Chazal. Pronocast's model had A. Barrena winning at 66 %.
When is the A. Barrena – M. Chazal match?
On Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 13:40, at the Biella tournament (Round of 32, clay).
What is the head-to-head between A. Barrena and M. Chazal?
No meeting between A. Barrena and M. Chazal appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for A. Barrena – M. Chazal?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Biella

Tournament page

Other matches on 15 September 2026

All matches on 15 September 2026