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J. Clarke vs F. Gill prediction

The prediction, computed before the match

Missed prediction
J. ClarkeF. Gill
47.7 %52.3 %
Model favourite
F. Gill
Probability
52 %
Predicted score
0-2
Actual score
2-1 · J. Clarke

Probability and score were published in the app before the match and frozen since. Model v0.6.

Men's ChallengerBiellaQuarter-finalclay15:15
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
vs
F. Gill
F. Gill
1907
Elo
1958
1883
Elo on clay
1987
5 / 10
Form (last 10)
5 / 10
4
Recent matches
3
Even
Head-to-head
Even
1.97
Odds
1.72

Form and record before the match

Last 10 matches, oldest to most recent

J. Clarke
  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
F. Gill
  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W
5 – 5
Wins – losses
5 – 5
15 – 13
Sets won – lost
12 – 13
2 wins
Current streak
2 wins
20-22 (48%)
2026 record
25-18 (58%)
47-40 (54%)
Record on clay
42-25 (63%)

ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches played since 2020 by J. Clarke and F. Gill, before this match.

What the numbers said before the match

F. Gill comes in with an Elo of 1958, against 1907 for J. Clarke: a 51-point edge. On clay, the gap is 104 points in favour of F. Gill. J. Clarke won 5 of the last ten matches, F. Gill won 5. J. Clarke has 4 wins in the last five matches. F. Gill has 3 wins in the last five matches. Their head-to-head record does not separate the two players. Bookmakers make F. Gill the favourite.

The model gave F. Gill the win at 52 %, with a likely score of 2-0. J. Clarke won 2-1: prediction missed.

Recent matches

J. Clarke's last five matches

F. Gill's last five matches

Head-to-head since 2020

No direct meeting since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.

Road through the tournament

To reach this round, J. Clarke beat J. Forejtek (3-6 6-3 6-4), then P. Brunclik (6-1 7-5). To reach this round, F. Gill beat M. Petkovic (7-6 6-3), then G. Campana Lee (6-0 6-3). In 2025, the tournament was won by S. Napolitano, who beat K. Feldbausch in the final (7-5 6-3).

Key numbers

In tie-breaks, J. Clarke wins 41 % (31 of 75), F. Gill 60 % (28 of 47). In deciding sets, J. Clarke wins 48 % of the time (84 matches), F. Gill 57 % (44 matches). After losing the first set, J. Clarke turned 18 % of matches around (106 occasions), F. Gill 21 % (48 occasions). After winning the first set, J. Clarke went on to win 76 % of matches, F. Gill 86 %.

Completed ATP, WTA and Challenger singles matches since 2020, before this match, retirements and walkovers excluded.

Frequently asked questions about J. Clarke – F. Gill

Who is the favourite between J. Clarke and F. Gill?
The match is over: J. Clarke won 2-1. Bookmakers make F. Gill the favourite, priced at 1.72 against 1.97 for J. Clarke. Pronocast's model had F. Gill winning at 52 %.
When is the J. Clarke – F. Gill match?
On Friday, 18 September 2026 at 15:15, at the Biella tournament (Quarter-final, clay).
What is the head-to-head between J. Clarke and F. Gill?
No meeting between J. Clarke and F. Gill appears since 2020 on the ATP, WTA and Challenger tours.
Where can I see the prediction for J. Clarke – F. Gill?
The prediction is published higher up on this page, with the result and the verdict.

How the model computes its predictions

Same tournament: Biella

Tournament page

Other matches on 18 September 2026

All matches on 18 September 2026